aaronkaltman

Pullback to 200 SMA H4

Short
OANDA:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
Chart: EUR/USD 4h

Key Observations:

Price has experienced a pullback to the 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is the blue line on the chart.

We are looking for a close below this 200 SMA as a trigger for our short position.
The green line represents the price, which is currently testing the 200 SMA.
Significance of 200 SMA:

The 200 SMA is often considered as a significant trend indicator.
A close below the 200 SMA could indicate a bearish momentum for the pair.
AI Prediction Regression Line:

The black line labeled 'MONTH' is an AI-generated prediction using regression analysis.
This line serves as an additional confluence for our short trade if the price continues to follow the predicted direction.

Risk Management:

This setup offers a low-risk entry point as we are entering near the 200 SMA.
It is prudent to place a stop-loss slightly above the 200 SMA to protect capital in case of a reversal.

Trade Setup:

Entry: Close below the 200 SMA.
Stop-Loss: Slightly above the 200 SMA.
Take-Profit: Regression model end of month prediction

Caution:

As always, it's important to use proper risk management and not to risk more than a small percentage of your trading capital on a single trade.
Disclaimer

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