REASONS WHY
Economic Sentiment in Europe
The economic sentiment in the European economy has shown signs of improvement1. This could potentially strengthen the Euro against the US Dollar. A positive economic sentiment often leads to increased investor confidence, which can drive up the value of the currency.
2. Interest Rate Decisions
Both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are anticipated to initiate their easing cycles, potentially commencing in June1. However, the pace of subsequent interest rate cuts may differ, leading to potentially divergent strategies for the two central banks1. Nevertheless, the ECB is not expected to significantly lag behind the Fed1.
3. Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, there are both bullish and bearish formations showing on the EUR/USD at the moment2. The pair remains as one of the more attractive venues for continuation strategies on USD-strength2. However, a sustained break below the key 200-day SMA at 1.0838 might ignite a deeper retracement1. On the upside, EUR/USD is expected to meet its initial resistance at the March peak of 1.09811.
4. Global Economic Factors
Global economic factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade policies, and global economic growth can also impact the EUR/USD pair. For instance, Europe’s front-line exposure to Russia’s war in Ukraine and the European Central Bank’s tardiness in raising interest rates have driven it to parity, or a 1:1 ratio with the dollar
Economic Sentiment in Europe
The economic sentiment in the European economy has shown signs of improvement1. This could potentially strengthen the Euro against the US Dollar. A positive economic sentiment often leads to increased investor confidence, which can drive up the value of the currency.
2. Interest Rate Decisions
Both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are anticipated to initiate their easing cycles, potentially commencing in June1. However, the pace of subsequent interest rate cuts may differ, leading to potentially divergent strategies for the two central banks1. Nevertheless, the ECB is not expected to significantly lag behind the Fed1.
3. Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, there are both bullish and bearish formations showing on the EUR/USD at the moment2. The pair remains as one of the more attractive venues for continuation strategies on USD-strength2. However, a sustained break below the key 200-day SMA at 1.0838 might ignite a deeper retracement1. On the upside, EUR/USD is expected to meet its initial resistance at the March peak of 1.09811.
4. Global Economic Factors
Global economic factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade policies, and global economic growth can also impact the EUR/USD pair. For instance, Europe’s front-line exposure to Russia’s war in Ukraine and the European Central Bank’s tardiness in raising interest rates have driven it to parity, or a 1:1 ratio with the dollar