Technical Update - Volatile EURUSD without clear direction
EURUSD is experiencing considerable volatility, partly due to conflicting signals from its daily moving averages (DMAs). With the 21 DMA rising, the 55 DMA declining, the 100 DMA rising, and the 200 DMA almost flat, the currency pair lacks a clear directional trend across short-, medium-, and long-term perspectives.
Fibonacci retracement levels are key in understanding EURUSD's recent movements:
1. In early March, EURUSD reached the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.0970 and then retracted
2. It then declined to the 0.50 retracement of the mid-February to mid-March uptrend and the 0.786 retracement of the early March uptrend at 1.0835
3. The pair rebounded from 1.0835, approaching the 0.786 retracement at 1.0949 but closed below the 0.618 level at 1.0925
4.EURUSD is now testing the 0.618 retracement of the mid-February to mid-March uptrend at 1.0804
A close below 1.0795 could lead to further declines toward the 0.786 level at 1.0756. EURUSD is nearing strong support at the 0.618 retracement around 1.08. A rebound from this level and a break above 1.0945 could signal a resumption of the uptrend, supported by positive sentiment indicated by the RSI.
Conversely, a close below 1.0795, potentially pushing the RSI below 40, would suggest a bearish outlook, possibly targeting the February lows around 1.07
Fibonacci retracement levels are key in understanding EURUSD's recent movements:
1. In early March, EURUSD reached the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.0970 and then retracted
2. It then declined to the 0.50 retracement of the mid-February to mid-March uptrend and the 0.786 retracement of the early March uptrend at 1.0835
3. The pair rebounded from 1.0835, approaching the 0.786 retracement at 1.0949 but closed below the 0.618 level at 1.0925
4.EURUSD is now testing the 0.618 retracement of the mid-February to mid-March uptrend at 1.0804
A close below 1.0795 could lead to further declines toward the 0.786 level at 1.0756. EURUSD is nearing strong support at the 0.618 retracement around 1.08. A rebound from this level and a break above 1.0945 could signal a resumption of the uptrend, supported by positive sentiment indicated by the RSI.
Conversely, a close below 1.0795, potentially pushing the RSI below 40, would suggest a bearish outlook, possibly targeting the February lows around 1.07