Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024
Trading Plan for Friday, April 26th, 2024
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control but facing the after-hours earnings event, which could bring sudden volatility.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5067, 5058 (major), 5048
Major Supports: 5036-33 (major), 5010 (major), 4996-5000 (major), 4935-40 (major), 4904-08 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5080-82 (major), 5092 (major), 5108 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5145-50 (major), 5177-81 (major)
Major Resistances: 5222, 5243-46 (major), 5272 (major)
Trading Strategy
Earnings Volatility: Be prepared for unpredictable price action and adjust your strategy in real-time.
Trading the Range: Expect price to play within the broad 5036-5126 range. Exercise caution and consider bids/shorts within the range rather than chasing direction.
Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5067 or 5058 after earnings. Focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels.
Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5126-29, 5145-50, or the major 5177-81 zone if reached. Given earnings, approach shorts very cautiously.
Profit-Taking: Use level-to-level profit-taking on any position taken, given the increased volatility risk.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the current 5036-33 major support is critical.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5108 zone for a potential run to the next major target areas of 5126-29 and 5145-50.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5036 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 26th, 2024
Economic Environment
March PCE inflation report and its impact on the Fed's policy decisions.
Apollo Global's acquisition of US Silica and implications for the materials sector.
Stock Market Updates
Mixed signals from global markets amidst geopolitical tensions.
Bank of Japan's interest rate policy.
Global Market News
Market response to various corporate earnings and announcements.
Additional Market News
Bond market dynamics and potential interest rate cuts.
Gold's performance and investment implications.
Currency market updates and the impact of the Bank of Japan's actions.
Additional Market Insights and News
Economic Indicators and Outlook
US GDP and Economic Growth: Analysis of the latest GDP report and its implications for growth trends.
Corporate Earnings Outlook: Forecasts for 2024 and sector-specific performance expectations.
Inflation and Interest Rates: Understanding the relationship between inflation, Fed policy, and corporate earnings.
Labor Market Dynamics: Assessing the health of the labor market and its impact on consumer spending and corporate profitability.
Technological Advancements and Market Shifts
Generative AI and Business Transformation: How is GenAI impacting decision-making and efficiencies in various industries.
Quantum Computing and Competitive Edge: Exploring the potential of quantum computing in various sectors and its implications for competitive advantage.
Sustainable Technology Initiatives: The increasing focus on green technologies and the integration of sustainability with innovation.
Industry Cloud Platforms (ICPs): Examining the adoption of ICPs and their role in accelerating digital transformation.
Reminder: The after-hours earnings events introduce major volatility risk. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with bulls maintaining short-term control but facing the after-hours earnings event, which could bring sudden volatility.
Key Supports
Immediate Supports: 5067, 5058 (major), 5048
Major Supports: 5036-33 (major), 5010 (major), 4996-5000 (major), 4935-40 (major), 4904-08 (major)
Key Resistances
Near-term Resistance: 5080-82 (major), 5092 (major), 5108 (major), 5126-29 (major), 5145-50 (major), 5177-81 (major)
Major Resistances: 5222, 5243-46 (major), 5272 (major)
Trading Strategy
Earnings Volatility: Be prepared for unpredictable price action and adjust your strategy in real-time.
Trading the Range: Expect price to play within the broad 5036-5126 range. Exercise caution and consider bids/shorts within the range rather than chasing direction.
Long Opportunities: Look for failed breakdowns at 5067 or 5058 after earnings. Focus on bids cautiously within the range, prioritizing the knife-catch protocol for deeper longs at major levels.
Short Opportunities: Look for backtests of 5126-29, 5145-50, or the major 5177-81 zone if reached. Given earnings, approach shorts very cautiously.
Profit-Taking: Use level-to-level profit-taking on any position taken, given the increased volatility risk.
Bull Case
Holding Support: Defending the current 5036-33 major support is critical.
Reclaiming Resistances: Bulls need to push above the 5108 zone for a potential run to the next major target areas of 5126-29 and 5145-50.
Bear Case
Breakdown Signals: A convincing break below 5036 triggers the downside move. As always, be wary of traps – look for a bounce/failed breakdown first, then consider shorting with level-to-level profit-taking.
News: Top Stories for April 26th, 2024
Economic Environment
March PCE inflation report and its impact on the Fed's policy decisions.
Apollo Global's acquisition of US Silica and implications for the materials sector.
Stock Market Updates
Mixed signals from global markets amidst geopolitical tensions.
Bank of Japan's interest rate policy.
Global Market News
Market response to various corporate earnings and announcements.
Additional Market News
Bond market dynamics and potential interest rate cuts.
Gold's performance and investment implications.
Currency market updates and the impact of the Bank of Japan's actions.
Additional Market Insights and News
Economic Indicators and Outlook
US GDP and Economic Growth: Analysis of the latest GDP report and its implications for growth trends.
Corporate Earnings Outlook: Forecasts for 2024 and sector-specific performance expectations.
Inflation and Interest Rates: Understanding the relationship between inflation, Fed policy, and corporate earnings.
Labor Market Dynamics: Assessing the health of the labor market and its impact on consumer spending and corporate profitability.
Technological Advancements and Market Shifts
Generative AI and Business Transformation: How is GenAI impacting decision-making and efficiencies in various industries.
Quantum Computing and Competitive Edge: Exploring the potential of quantum computing in various sectors and its implications for competitive advantage.
Sustainable Technology Initiatives: The increasing focus on green technologies and the integration of sustainability with innovation.
Industry Cloud Platforms (ICPs): Examining the adoption of ICPs and their role in accelerating digital transformation.
Reminder: The after-hours earnings events introduce major volatility risk. Prioritize risk management and adapt your trading strategy accordingly.
