BinaryPairing

DXY Sending Mixed Signals

TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
The Dollar has retraced towards it Fibonaci level of 61.8% since its high in the beginning of January 2017. It has now found resistance at that level of $97.82, testing it since November 2018.

Simultaneously, there has been an ascending triangle forming. You can see the base taking shape in March 2018. Usually this would imply a bullish breakout waiting to occur.

Also, a number of head-and-shoulder patterns have occurred since the 2017 high. You can see the inverse head-and-shoulders in September 2017, and March-April 2018. These were followed by a bullish upwards trend in the following months. But then there was a recent head-and-shoulders pattern in August 2018, which coincidentally tested the 50% Fibonaci retracement level as its neckline. That neckline served as a support, which could have signaled a downtrend if it was broken through. When that neckline was not breached, DXY ripped upwards, bringing us to the 61.8% retracement level and current resistance.

So we have a Fibonacci retracement , a series of head-and-shoulders, and an ascending triangle. I don't know quite what that is telling me yet, but I will continue to track and monitor.

Please share with me any comments or feedback!

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