civil_worker

DOGE coin price simulation

I use 2 different processes for simulation ,all parameters are based on historical price and here is the result :
Ito process
path 1 ,mean price 0.0037190770796023892
path 2 ,mean price 0.003490382594690365
path 3 ,mean price 0.002704972176294766
path 4 ,mean price 0.02345388792503155
path 5 ,mean price 0.004811303137504377
path 6 ,mean price 0.002132020643426561
path 7 ,mean price 0.005536199141645733
path 8 ,mean price 0.005484515775973475
path 9 ,mean price 0.0045126201039538145
path 10 ,mean price 0.009990222855380705
mean price in 5 years: 0.006583520143350373
median price in 5 years: 0.000025
max price in 5 years: 0.32403116141737043
min price in 5 years : ~0
start Wiener process
path 1 ,mean price 1.0035930733177367
path 2 ,mean price 0.04760850097697172
path 3 ,mean price 0.01409447524061507
path 4 ,mean price 1.593870344397067
path 5 ,mean price 0.04805203551197889
path 6 ,mean price 0.6013213374510358
path 7 ,mean price 0.005552465988846188
path 8 ,mean price 0.21722940681105166
path 9 ,mean price 0.012094064668016722
path 10 ,mean price 0.10463224909868593
mean price in 5 years: 0.3648047953462005
median price in 5 years: 0.05335984156784901
max price in 5 years: 9.816976547135807
min price in 5 years: 1.1100787283161037e-05
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.