JDTheGreat

DE could breakout only if....?

JDTheGreat Updated   
NYSE:DE   Deere & Company
DE is trying to hold above to break out of its bull flag. This is one of the companies that a lot of investors would run to if there's a sector rotation out of tech. With a 1.19% dividend and potential growth ahead, you could see DE attempt to test the resistance around 418.

Bullish Case - There is little to argue in favor of a bear case for this ticker today. With the bull flag at the brink of a breakout, if not already breaking out, this could be a 425 ticker in a short amount of time. I would like to see the price above 408.39 to take a safe entry to the upside and consider profits at 418.

Bearish Case - The sell-off at the end of the day could signal that the market is exhausted when it comes to DE. If it breaks the level of 397.06, we could see an attempt to fill the imbalance below to 400 or as low as 390. Right now, this looks like a failure swing for the upside when it pushed back down below the bull flag breakout.

Conclusion - DE is in a bit of a no man's land. When it pulled back, it formed what could be the beginnings of a harami candle pattern. Though you could argue this could be a breakout retest, it's too close for comfort, making the bear case seem more relevant. It's safer to take the trade above 408.39 than to be too presumptuous. We have to see where it goes from here.

Bullish above - 408.39
Bearish below - 397.06
Comment:
I didn't set an alert on this one. I don't like their option chain it tends to be a bit annoying. Look for it to hold here and I may take something next week.

Sometime you have to take a step back to make a better step forward.

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