subtlepapi

CPI - Reversal play with strong fundamentals

subtlepapi Updated   
LSE:CPI   CAPITA PLC ORD GBP0.02066666
Technical Analysis
  • Jan to April 2022 CPI entered a phase where it was oversold as shown by the 1M William %R entering below the -80 level. Signaling a potential mean reversion play or reversal play.
  • Since 25 April the stock has been moving upwards and is now on the verge of confirming a reversal play on the 1Wk chart but with William %R on the 1Wk chart being above -20 I expect the stock to consolidate between $31.44 and $24.60 prior to deciding its 1M and 1Wk direction.
  • A break below $24.60 the 1Wk continuation play would be triggered as it would show signs of low buying momentum/demand etc. and I expect the bottom of $20 to be tested again.
  • A break above $31.44 would signify high demand/ volume and potential shift in momentum.

Price Targets
  • If BUY triggered I expect an initial target of $44-$56 (+36% to +78%) with further upside expected if momentum shifts significantly in the markets or we see news/catalysts pushing price past $56.
  • If SELL triggered I expect an initial price target of $19-$21 (+14% to 22%) with further downside expected if it breaks support below.

Financials & Quality Screen
  • EV/EBIT: 3.86
  • ROIC: 25.02%
  • Piotroski F Score: 6
  • Excellent sustainable growth rate: 316
Comment:
Still waiting for price to cross over $31 to signal a Long.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.