DoctorFaustus

Economic Game Mechanics: Part 3

Long
AMEX:CPER   United States Copper Index Fund ETV
DISCLAIMER
This is in no way, shape or form, fluid and function, an analytical, qualitative or intelligent compte rendu. The function of this essay is the maddening diatribe of a curious author, and how this one manages micro- and macro-economic data for a critical investigation into the micro- and macro-economic world. This text is not suitable for direct consumption, and should never be used as a primary or secondary source. The contents of this text are often illogical and offensive, and great care should be given to the reader's personal qualifications and senses. This text is delivered on TradingView, where the userbase is expected to have a level of financial and investigative understanding that would enable them to query appropriate thoughts and abdicate nonsense to the void. May whatever sovereign and omnipotent being you believe in, guide you through this.

Important note: There are many, many figures here. Please pay attention very carefully to the axes and trends, not specifics. Real data is only as real as the reader allows.


Thesis
There are endless possibilities, and many paths that can lead to a favourable outcome. The present is like a slime mold, spreading it's way across each of these possibilities, searching for the path of least resistance to propagation. Working it's way through the future in all favourable directions. Commodities alone will not secure a nation it's future, nor are there enough of any single commodity to provide for humanity in perpetuity. A combination of strategic investments in key scientific fields will be required for a true rotation into localizing and securing supply chains. Synthetic biology offers rare resources never thought farmable; what is the value of cotton when spider-silk can be brewed like beer? Companies like Gevo, Ginkgo Bioworks, and through Ginkgo, Chronos Group, are already positioned to create endless supply from human-made microbes. Nuclear fusion is approaching critical developmental milestones. Material Sciences and technological developments in ceramics have enabled the lithium battery, and will one day enable the lithium-less battery. What was once thought impossible on Earth, is quickly becoming the inevitable. Rapid globalization introduced a world of possibilities to nearly every corner of the atlas, and in turn nearly brought the end of it. Just as the mold spreads, so do it's peers. If the mold could be completely sustainable and contained within it's own space, the mold might never need to compete with those peers. While the Russian invasion of Ukraine has brought NATO members closer, it has created visible stresses. Germany is a failed-state without Russian gas; their manufacturing industries will halt as they go without Russian energy, and the cost of the dwindling energy supply forces destructive, competitive, hyperinflationary impulses on Germany and it's reliant-trade partners. Of course, companies with manufacturing centers in China, Russia, and others unlikely to be hit with energy shortages have their own hyperinflationary issues developing. The slime mold of humanity, and all competitive striations within, are just one flavour of Mother Earth's creations. It is apparent that global cooperation through critical natural selective events would lead to the best outcomes, the willingness of cooperants to coalesce seems nil. As Justitia balances volatile weights on her scale, sovereign state's will become more selfish as their own struggles outweigh the willingness to work together.


Humanity will never go extinct, as try as they may. America may never be the unipolar superpower it once was, but that doesn't mean America will ever join the ranks of Atlantis. The destruction, doom and despair ahead will test resolve. There will be harder days ahead, but there will always be days ahead. Perseverating on the inability to prevent the pain squanders the chance to be prepared for all possibilities and probabilities. It was with science, medicine, reason, and pure hard work that guided humanity from the caves gifted by nature to the marvels that gift nature. While innovative technological systems enabled, and continue to enable, rapid advances in all four of these paradigms, it will now be in the translational companies that drive the market, as the market becomes founded once more on fundamentals in economics, and reality. The industries that drive humanity, the continued improvement in survival of humanity, and the pleasures that it can continue to lust after, will see an increasing share of uncompromising capital. As the mixture between politics and mathematics progresses, Central Banks will look to previous rounds of the game for their strategy on the next, whichever title it takes. Still, making a mistake does not preclude it from the list of actions Central Bank's will take. The idea of austerity versus lending is a stitch inhibiting forward progress, and nation's struggle with a concept of paying for the past and future. A specific stimuli results in a Markov Chain of possibilities, and probabilities are only ever probable. The future should be driven by the exploration and progression towards every possible beneficial direction, but the distance between should and did can be the difference between victory and defeat.



Selected References
These articles summarize some of the select events that have just happened and might not be common knowledge to the reader.
www.reuters.com/worl...ri-lanka-2022-04-03/
www.chinadaily.com.c...310fd2b29e54bbe.html
www.shadowstats.com/...ata/inflation-charts
www.npr.org/2022/04/...anizer-staten-island
theconversation.com/...nion-movement-180293


Financial Disclaimer
I am personally long on all 3 of these ETFs published under Economic Game Mechanics, with much more diversity and weighting depending on risk-reward ratios based on past performance, ETF makeups, active vs passive strategy, specific commodity pockets, etc. Do not make any financial decisions based off this text or any charts because that would be pretty stupid, lol.
Disclaimer

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