180$ for barrel?! What will happen with Oil Price during War

Only peace will save us - as one proverb says. But is it really the case with the oil price? The war in Ukraine and the turmoil over Russian oil are shaking the markets, so we have to look at the situation from several perspectives.

• the nearest option resistance is at USD 120
  
• we have a lot of Virgin VPOCs below the current price, which theoretically should act as a ballast inhibiting further increases
  
• in the background the risk of the imposition of further sanctions banning the import of Russian oil in individual countries
  
• ignorance of OPEC at the last meeting - political and supply turmoil around oil and the session ... lasts a record 13 minutes without mentioning the oil supply limitation by one of the key OPEC producers!
  

The situation becomes even more interesting if we see where the funds are located on the Options from the Expiry Date in mid-April 2022 - the resistance (i.e. investors place money on CALL options) with a record high turnover is ... the level of USD 180 per barrel! At the time of writing the analysis, we have as many as 4241 options there. Even at the next expiration of options in mid-March (little time until Expiry), we can see the capital shifting towards $ 140, where levels of $ 100-110 were staked at the beginning of the war in Ukraine.

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And what are your expectations for the coming weeks ad. oil prices? I'd love to hear from you!