Welcome back traders, it has been a while. We will dive deep into CCIV across multiple timeframes, and hopefully make sense of this. Please read the disclosure below. So many YouTube influencers (ZipTrader has been one of my favorites lately) have already explained why this sold off so viscously, so that won't be covered here (you should definitely check it out if you do not understand this already.)
Our cover chart today displays weekly candles, and it tells us plenty. From 2/16/21-present, we have watched the RSI drop from 99.5 to 52.18. In other words, the SPAC media-hype bubble finally popped. This is very common with SPAC plays. The February highs were unsustainable, and the profits were taken. I cannot iterate enough that this is so normal with SPAC plays, the gut-wrenching selloffs certainly are not for everyone (okay, my panic sell rant is over.) Our Fib Retracement from high to low gives us a .236 level of $22.95, and weekly candles above this level will likely indicate a reversal of this downtrend.
The Daily chart gives us so much more guidance. We are seeing support from the 65D Simple Moving Average (SMA), and stagnation between the 65SMA and 50 SMA. Although it is too early to tell currently, this very well could be the accumulation period prior to the break out. Also, the T3-CCI indicator has transitioned from decreasing to increasing, which is a bullish sign. With an RSI of 39.97, this is arguably oversold (many analysts want an RSI under 30, but given the volatility, it will almost definitely not be a perfect TA fit.) Lastly with this chart, the 9 SMA is decreasing less since March 5, which could be indicative of a reversal as well.
CCIV really starts to shape up on the 12h chart above. The Bollinger Band Squeeze is beginning, which can indicate a big price move either way. The Visible Range shows us three high volume nodes, which I will be monitoring heavily as potential price targets. The 9 SMA is at $23.77, which we need to watch closely as a support/resistance level over the next couple days. Additionally, we are seeing early convergence on the MACD, which is a bullish sign.
Lastly, we have the 4h chart, and we saved the best for last! We see the early start of an inverse H+S pattern with a base at $32.57, displayed above. Although we are very very early in this pattern, this would indicate a MASSIVE MOVE that could easily 2x from current prices, according to this pattern (this is not trading advice.) On the 4h chart, we can see more precision, within our BB squeeze, with volume, and possible accumulation, compared to our higher timeframe charts.
Conclusions
As we wrap it up, I would like to thank everyone for reading, I welcome your feedback. It is important to understand this is a bullish prerogative, and the ideas presented above are very early in their formation, which leads to increased risk now, as opposed to waiting for confirmation/validation. If I am wrong and these levels break, we could see lows around $17-$18. I think many analysts will agree that prices below these levels would be odd unless we see further market crashes or significant production setbacks. I hope this is helpful, please read the disclosure below and good luck traders!
Disclaimer
This is neither trading advice, nor financial advice! These are merely my opinions that I have posted for educational purposes ONLY. Trading comes with great risk, which should be managed carefully. You should never trade anything more than you are willing to lose. I hope you all kill it, but I am not responsible for any loss or damages.
Our cover chart today displays weekly candles, and it tells us plenty. From 2/16/21-present, we have watched the RSI drop from 99.5 to 52.18. In other words, the SPAC media-hype bubble finally popped. This is very common with SPAC plays. The February highs were unsustainable, and the profits were taken. I cannot iterate enough that this is so normal with SPAC plays, the gut-wrenching selloffs certainly are not for everyone (okay, my panic sell rant is over.) Our Fib Retracement from high to low gives us a .236 level of $22.95, and weekly candles above this level will likely indicate a reversal of this downtrend.
Conclusions
As we wrap it up, I would like to thank everyone for reading, I welcome your feedback. It is important to understand this is a bullish prerogative, and the ideas presented above are very early in their formation, which leads to increased risk now, as opposed to waiting for confirmation/validation. If I am wrong and these levels break, we could see lows around $17-$18. I think many analysts will agree that prices below these levels would be odd unless we see further market crashes or significant production setbacks. I hope this is helpful, please read the disclosure below and good luck traders!
Disclaimer
This is neither trading advice, nor financial advice! These are merely my opinions that I have posted for educational purposes ONLY. Trading comes with great risk, which should be managed carefully. You should never trade anything more than you are willing to lose. I hope you all kill it, but I am not responsible for any loss or damages.