Aussie-scalper

neutral to bullish BXB ( asx) - bull credit spread

Aussie-scalper Updated   
ASX:BXB   BRAMBLES LIMITED

This is based on ' The Anty' strategy in which after a normal correction degree, there is at least the same or better recovery in price - a neutral to bullish strategy is bull put spread ( paid a credit) and with only 8 days until expiry benefit from time-decay at a fairly high probability scenario....it needs to close below 10.98 at expiry ( using european style options) so get exercised and forced to purchase stock at this price ( 500 shares contracted). There is put protection below at 10.48 so if really falls hard the most I can lose is -$500 ( fixed loss). Of course I would hold the stock until at least recover the loss as an attractive price over 3 months...
Trade active:
This sold PUT is gone 'into the money' but as European I can wait until expiry
on July15th to see if price recovers > 10.98 and I am NOT EXERCISED.
Otherwise, I will to decide whether to roll it down or exit for smallest loss possible - as time decay will help this....
Trade closed manually:
At 1 day before June 25th expiry I must do evasive action to avoid being exercised and taking delivery of the stock plus brokerage costs which can be steep.
I have decided to roll out & down one strike until next Month expiry in July 15.
This way if successful I will come out at break-even and not take delivery of the stock.
As I have success on 4 out of five put bull ( credit) spreads this means I've had a 20% failure rate...which makes it a successful strategy given I may not take any loss at all if this plan works and the stock rallies at least > 10.75

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.