leonypark

Cycle. Inevitable

Long
leonypark Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
....!
Trade active:
I made a mistake in calculating the top price per cycle. I should've used the diminished marginality concept but didn't. Instead, I used fixed x16 for the target. It should've been x36->x18->x9->x4.5-> and so on.
.
Hence, the calculation should've been as follows :
1.The 1st top before 1st halving was $32.
2.The top after 1st halving cycle(2013) was $1163. (1163/32 = x36 ratio)
3.The top after 2nd halving cycle(2017) was $19892 (19892/1163 = x17-18 ratio)
4.The top after 3rd halving cycle(2021) is not yet known. However, if we apply the same logic, it will be approximately 180K(= 19892*9)
5. The top after 4th halving cycle(2025) will be 810K(= 180k*4.5)
6. The top after 5th halving cycle(2029) will be 1820K(=810k*2.25)
7. The top after 6th halving cycle(2032) will be 2045K (THIS IS THE TOP)
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.