InvestingScope

BTCUSD: The Huge Pivot Zone will decide its fate.

CRYPTO:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Bitcoin has completed seven weeks of trading inside the 1W MA200 - 1W MA50 range. It is no surprise that the 1W technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 50.743, MACD = 460.600, ADX = 25.554) as while the 1W MA50 has been supporting, the 1W MA100 has been resisting. The latter hasn't closed a 1W candle over it since April 25th and is at the moment the top priority to break for Bitcoin.

On a greater scale though, the true Resistance to cross is 31,800 which is the top of what we call the "Huge Pivot Zone" (25,400 is the Support). The price hasn't closed any 1W candle outside of this Zone since it entered it on the week of March 13th 2023. In fact we can go as back as January 2021 and see the importance of this Pivot Zone. In 2022 there hasn't been any 1W candle closing under the top (31,800) of the Pivot Zone. Then in 2022 up until March 2023 this became a rejection level, closing all candles under it, while the Cycle bottom was being formed.

With the Bull Cycle HL trendline still supporting (along with the 1W MA50) and the price approaching the 1W MA100, we will soon have a strong breakout signal at hand. But if this is accompanied by a break over 31,800 then we have great chances of going into the April 2024 Halving with prices above $40,000. Likewise a crossing under the HL and the 25,400 Support can break the Bull Cycle blueprint and take us into uncharted (bearish) territory.

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