BTCUSD - Looks like we will be going down to $4500?

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Looking at the previous years trends it does seem logical to assume that the current bear trend will continue to follow suit and continue dropping further down. Looking specifically at the RSI the current levels on the weekly charts hasnt dropped nearly enough yet it seems making me think that we should expect us to go drop lower down to the prophesied $4.5k mark.. :(

Still have a lot to learn of course but looking at the previous trends suggests that the bear season should actually continue for another year or so. Still have a lot to learn of course.
how do u calculate that we will touch 30 RSI when btc will be at 4.5k?
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