YuntCmdr

Time to short $BTCUSD

Short
YuntCmdr Updated   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTC short at the daily ob- going well. Recent price action has pushed below the VPVR point of control and retested this break down. The POC is regarded as an area of strong support/resistance—breaks above/below the POC often result in strong continuation momentum.

Although slight, this trend channel could be seen as a bearish ascending broadening wedge—while this does add confidence to the trade, it is not a main factor in my decision making. Ultimately my take profits are toward the 6100 and 6350 4 hour OB+ shown on the chart. However, the slow MAs and diagonal support line give us support around 6550. I would consider taking profits here dependent on the price action at the time. Trading above this support has created a clear place to raid the stop losses around 6450-6550. Creating a flood of sell orders, stop losses can easily create liquidity for institutional players—shorts (sells) feed longs (buys). This would be strong momentum to push price toward my take profit/long targets.

I mentioned concern given the placement of the 4 hour slow MAs. While slow MAs below price action on the 4 hour is a bullish sign, the daily chart is showing rejection from the slow MAs. When the slow MAs have wide separation, they signify strong S/R. As you can see from the start of this bearish trend, price failed to break down until the slow MAs began to get closer and cross.
Trade active:

Stops raided. Notice the effect?

Price hanging around first profit taking zone. Watching low time frame consolidation to hint towards the next move. I am still expecting my next take profit OB. Keep in mind this target is a daily OB as well.
Trade active:

BTC hourly showing a good spot to take on a hedge to for your short position if you were to choose. Breaking below here would be a drop to 6100. Considering adding to my short position in the hourly bearish OB. Regardless these zones could provide some nice short term trades.
Trade closed: target reached:

BTC final profit targets reached. I’m currently flat waiting for the next set up. Very pleased with those profits on low leverage.
Comment:
Wrong chart above

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