Speculating the Bottom for Bitcoin around $10,000 to $13,000K

Many analysts I've listened to over the couple of months have said a bottom in for Bitcoin around $10-$13K because they use the previous ATH at $68,000 ish as the top of this Bull Market season. That would mean a break in pattern from previous cycles where the bottom is lower than the previous Bull Season top out. This is one of the reasons why I'm leaning toward another month or so of upward action, setting a new all time high so the bottom would fall around $22,000 where and unclosed CME gap is. We shall see. If this Full Moon sees a dump to create a higher low I'll lean toward a supercycle on the way. If we see it create a lower low then I'll concede $68K was the top.