Sawcruhteez

Bitcoin Daily Update (day 337)

Long
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
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Consensio: M MA > S MA > P > L MA

Patterns: Phase 7 Hyperwave | A&E | Bear Channel
Horizontals: S: $3,742 | R: $3,820
Trendline: Parabolic SAR: W: $4,216
Futures Curve: Backwardation
Funding Rates: Longs receive 0.0183%
BTCUSDSHORTS: Rejected from 9 EMA. Will be interesting to see if it makes lower low
TD’ Sequential: Bullish price flip with todays close, current candle is trying to make bearish price flip
Ichimoku Cloud:.Watching for close above Tenkan-Sen
Relative Strength Index: Continues to support > 50
Price Action: 24h: +0.21% | 2w: +6.6% | 1m: +12.1%
Bollinger Bands: Continues to support > 50
Stochastic Oscillator: Monthly buy signal in confluence with weekly buy signal is very rare / powerful

Summary: In a Telegram conversation with Leah Wald I mentioned that “I can’t remember the last time I felt this bullish about crypto”.

This is only the second time we have gotten a monthly Stochastic buy signal < 20 and the first time it has been < 10. The last time we got that signal it called the bottom of the 2015 bear market. Just so happens that both occurred on a monthly red 8.


I do not think we have found the bottom due to lack of capitulation / FUD as well as Hyperwave theory, however I do feel very confident that we are in for a strong bounce over the next couple weeks / months.

First target is the top of the bear channel that is pictured above under ‘trendlines’. If we breakthrough there then I expect a $6,000 retest / rejection which leads to capitulation and a return to $1,000 / Phase 1. However everything hinges on closing above $4,200. That is due to the massive gap in the visible range volume profile.


If we breakthrough $4,200 on a daily closing basis then that is the final confirmation I will be waiting for. I have already started to build my positions and am ~30% entered. Will make sure that I am 100% entered if we close above $4,200.

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