DennisLeeBTC

Ending Diagonal on Bitcoin

DennisLeeBTC Updated   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
I don't think this is *THE TOP* but it is *A TOP*. Bitcoin has historically always returned to the 21 Weekly EMA before making a push higher, and we have not done that since the 10k breakout last year. Working theory is that this is a rising wedge/ending diagonal which is corroborated by the declining volume and volatility alongside bearish RSI divergence on the daily and weekly chart.

Be careful in this range as ending diagonals tend to reverse rather suddenly and violently with few bounces for underwater longs to escape liquidation. I've drawn in what is known as a "throwover" on that last pump that crosses the upper trendline in a false breakout. These are common in ending diagonals and definitely worth watching out for since crypto tends to move towards the extremes.

I fully acknowledge I could be wrong here, and this could be some kind of bullish wedge consolidation, but the Risk:Reward in this range is not great for me, and I would rather buy after a substantial pullback.
Comment:
Pi Cycle Top nearly crossing
Comment:

Well it took a little longer than expected and failed to reach the target (bearish) but its finally playing out.
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