alexkeaton

Bitcoin Halving Cycles

Long
INDEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
I'm sure this is already out there but here it is again...
These are the 4-year bitcoin cycles. They’ve repeated every 4 years thus far. It happens because bitcoin’s code was written that way. This feature makes bitcoin scarcer every four years. We can use gold as a real-world analogy – let’s say that the flow of newly mined gold that comes into the market was somehow stifled. For example, a gold mine gets swallowed up by a volcano. I have no idea if that is a thing, but if that happened, and people knew about it, the price of gold would go up due to this event because the resource would be scarcer at that point. With bitcoin this 4-year known event is called the ‘halving’ and it makes the commodity scarcer. This means that the reward for the newly ‘mined’ bitcoin is cut in half every 4 years. In the above screenshot, the halving dates are the yellow lines. The green lines are the new all-time high price that comes some number of days/weeks/months post-halving. As you can see, it’s rather predictable when the new all-time high comes in when measured from the halving.
During the bull run that is tied to the halving, the whole of the crytpo market (usually) goes up too. This means that most of the other coins go up, and any crypto related stocks go up. For example, COIN (Coinbase’s ticker symbol) or RIOT (the company I invested in where I turned $15k from a 401k into $250k.. but then it tanked and I ended up with only $150k.. <<mad emoji>> and that all happened in a very short period, like 3 to 5 months).

But we shall see. I think it's interesting that there is this eclipse coming up on the same month/year as the halving.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.