$BTC - 42390 then Bullish - Halfway Through Discount FVG - *SMT*
*SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges, trendlines, channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remembers price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equasl Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
In This Signal....
I believe the momentum for the bitcoin chart is moving from the slight pullback that it just had to a more bullish structure. I believe the entrance would be roughly halfway through the the last 15 min fair value gap near the bottom of the current low. It should fill the imbalance to at least half, if not it could fill it entirely and a possibility that it is pulls through down to the daily fair value gap between, 41578.33 and 41766.79. Currently, It has hit the bearish order block, waiting to see which price point will be the turning point. It's the end of the week, second week of April starts today. Which leads me to believe that the price will end the week on a bullish run. The 12% drop of total price which is only 80% of a fibonacci pullpack,
12% drop Chart
which is 100% completely normal. To place your fib in the right place, make sure that the low you're measuring from is the most recent low that has broken and closed above a swing high or equal highs. Not all waves that need a Fib will be placed at the very bottom of the wave. You will be disappointed everytime as that is not that way Smart Money views a discount price. So please see this example as to how to place your fibs correctly.
Price should retrace 61.8-88.6% to the discounted Smart Money Price. This one is roughly 80% retracement which is about 90% of all retracements. In this area there is the last 15 min fair value gap, the price should turn bullish hit the bearish order block pull down until 42390 area and then finallly start rising. At the end of the week. Where is it aiming for? In the 15 min chart there is a liquidity void where two candles do not touch. This is a dead giveaway that price will want to return to this area. The high of that void is 46376.09 on this chart. It could take a week to reach the objective, maybe two. But we're due for more bullich runs. Especially after doing 30-20-90 day lookbacks and forwards. We should hit a new high by June or July.
In This Signal....
I believe the momentum for the bitcoin chart is moving from the slight pullback that it just had to a more bullish structure. I believe the entrance would be roughly halfway through the the last 15 min fair value gap near the bottom of the current low. It should fill the imbalance to at least half, if not it could fill it entirely and a possibility that it is pulls through down to the daily fair value gap between, 41578.33 and 41766.79. Currently, It has hit the bearish order block, waiting to see which price point will be the turning point. It's the end of the week, second week of April starts today. Which leads me to believe that the price will end the week on a bullish run. The 12% drop of total price which is only 80% of a fibonacci pullpack,
12% drop Chart
which is 100% completely normal. To place your fib in the right place, make sure that the low you're measuring from is the most recent low that has broken and closed above a swing high or equal highs. Not all waves that need a Fib will be placed at the very bottom of the wave. You will be disappointed everytime as that is not that way Smart Money views a discount price. So please see this example as to how to place your fibs correctly.
Price should retrace 61.8-88.6% to the discounted Smart Money Price. This one is roughly 80% retracement which is about 90% of all retracements. In this area there is the last 15 min fair value gap, the price should turn bullish hit the bearish order block pull down until 42390 area and then finallly start rising. At the end of the week. Where is it aiming for? In the 15 min chart there is a liquidity void where two candles do not touch. This is a dead giveaway that price will want to return to this area. The high of that void is 46376.09 on this chart. It could take a week to reach the objective, maybe two. But we're due for more bullich runs. Especially after doing 30-20-90 day lookbacks and forwards. We should hit a new high by June or July.
Trade active:
Odd, the Bitstamp chartr has it already hitting the target, the Coinbase, Bitfinex, FTX charrts do not have price making that run to the high before the other charts.
Trade closed: stop reached
Comment:
I don't know how to explain this one because unfortunately, I wasn't around when it created thos equal highs and my instincts cut in and MY LONGS AND JUST WATCHED IT DROP.. Unfortunately I had some groceries tto pick up and I couldn't be there for eceryonre. Butr those equal highs at the start of a push back from equal highs is exactly what was people were doing
You're either trading with Smart Money Theory or your just burning your money money. Believe me, I've been there.
