This is another UPDATE on a chart I have posted in the past and it is continuing to show us a stunning level of repeating patterns, which, if it continues, will make 2025 a year to remember.
So, Lets dive in a nd see what we have here before I show you whats to come.
The RED line is the 50 week SMA and the Blue is the 100
From the 2013 ATH, it took 504 days for the 50 SMA to drop below the 100.
It remained below for 406 days and then it rose back above and PA began its rise to the Next ATH.
From the 2017 ATH, it took 448 days for the 50 to drop below the 100
It remained below for 294 and then rose above and went to a new ATH
From the 2021 ATH, it took 525 days for the 50 to drop below the 100, though it could also be said that it took 300 as there were 2 ATH that year, though the 2nd one could be seen as "outside of Scope"
It remained below for 441 days before it finaly managed to break back over despite many "headwinds". It should also be nothed how the 100 fell below the 200 ( Yellow) for the first time in BTC history. This is a legacy of the Hard bear market in 2022.
So, these day counts are not exactly the same but they are certainly with in a tolerance of Accuracy.
But this is surprising to me.
It was 1008 days from when the 50 rose above the 100, to when it fell back below in 2016
The 100 remained above for 294 days
When the 50 rose back over the 100 in Dec 2019, it remained above for 1001 days, just 1 week less than the previous occasion.
So, to me, I See a Flow of numbers with a near enough similarity, which allows me some Scope to show you the next Image.
Using the 1000 day approx count to when we may see the 50 drop back below the 100, this brings us to august 2026.
This Hapopens AFTER the ATH and using previous day counts, we can make a time period to maybe expect a "Top" ATH, shown with the Green Box.
This ATH Zone is around Q2 & Q3 2025
And that date range has SO much confluence with other charts, it is scary.........
BUT and this needs to be paid attention to, like a Valid Trendline, we need 3 "points" to make it Valid. This is all based on 2 "points" so may not work out
TIME WILL TELL