nmholtgraves

BTC Trend Analysis

COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Gooood Afternoon! This is a trend analysis for BTC ! lots going on so let's get into it. We are using a 4 hour chart with and RSI, 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (green). Two trend line sets are above in orange and purple. The purple trend set is a little more long term encompassing the past two months or so while the orange trend captures the most recent 30 days. A clear bull to almost a bearish flag pattern switch has been made contrasting the two trends. In an attempt to use both sets to predict a likely target, the most likely outcome for BTC is that it will stay in the green or red shaded triangle zone. Should we take a hard entry into the red zone, we can expect a good drop, I'll call $7500 bottom within the next 17 days if that happens. If we stay green and bullish then I'll call a $11,200 high within the next 17 days. The blue trend-line represents a five day trend with candles fitting rather neatly inside. I call this the black swan scenario; it shows BTC plummeting to $6000 in the next three days. This scenario is HIGHLY unlikely!!
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.