Chris_Inks

BTCUSD H4/D1 charts (2/14/2019)

Education
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Good morning, traders. Price continues to consolidate within a flag/descending wedge. The target based on the height of the wedge remains, as it was yesterday, the ascending red "neckline" of the possible IHS. But, as I mentioned previously, we need to see increasing candle spread and expanding volume as the right shoulder is completed and price pushes through the neckline. If we see diminishing volume and/or small candle spread then the possibility of further movement up through the descending channel's resistance is significantly reduced. But we do have a few targets if demand shows itself. The shallowest target of $3730 will get price to the red line and is based on the height of the local wedge, $3970 is based on the height of the flagpole, $4100 is based on the IHS, and $4400 is based on the height of the large descending channel. A breakdown of this wedge has price looking for initial support around $3475-$3510 with secondary support around $3430. Currently, price has retraced almost 50% of the February 8th advance.

H4 RSI continues to move within the descending broadening wedge it printed, but appears to be finding a possible floor as it flattens out around 45-50. MACD is also showing growing bullish momentum over the past two days. D1 shows price just below the daily pivot with decreasing volume the past three days and doji candles printing. This suggests that supply may be exhausting itself and, if so, we should see price move upward as demand takes over. Until it happens, however, this is just speculation. Traders should always look for confirmation of direction via pattern completions or breakdowns at the very least. The short green horizontal lines on the D1 chart mark the aforementioned targets.

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