Sawcruhteez

Bitcoin Daily Update (day 328)

Long
Sawcruhteez Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
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Consensio: M EMA < P < S EMA < L EMA

Patterns: Phase 7 hyperwave | Bear Channel | Flag is starting to get too long in relation to pole
Horizontals: S: $3,557 | R: $3,578
Trendline: Just noticed how we got a nice pop after breaking through this TL. Tells me that might be an important area of resistance to breakthough
Parabolic SAR: $3,381
Futures Curve: Backwardation with 0.75% spread
BTCUSDSHORTS: Testing local low, will it double bottom or create lower low? Lower low would be quite bullish imo.
Funding Rates: Longs pay shorts 0.01%
TD’ Sequential: R4 = R3
Ichimoku Cloud: Thin cloud above 50 EMA represents little resistance
Relative Strength Index: Bouncing from 50 retest which is bullish
Average Directional Index: Continuing to roll over, will it support > 20? I think so.
Price Action: 24h: -0.1% | 2w: +5.2% | 1m: +1.2%
Bollinger Bands: Squeezing with price above MA which is bullish
Stochastic Oscillator: Weekly buy signal

Summary: There are very few bearish indicators that I am seeing. The TD Sequential is on a red 4 but other than that the picture being painted is quite bullish. I have an urge to add to my long exposure but I am going to wait until the market moves more in my favor.

I love seeing the daily RSI bounce off of 50 while the weekly Stochastic is giving us a buy signal. I love seeing the price get squeezed in between the M EMA and L EMA while the L EMA flattens out. I love seeing the pop that we got after the trendline above was violated. I love seeing backwardation with price above the 2 week high. I like seeing the bollinger band squeeze with price above MA.

I have build a good amount of long exposure and am hopeful that a strong bounce here will get the Trading Challenge out of the gutter. WIth one strong trend in my favor I can absolutely recoup the losses that I have experienced over the last 6 weeks.

That being said I am staying on my toes. If we break down from here then the market would be primed for capitulation. Crypto markets love to paint a bullish picture right before dumping all over everyone. Sort of like what we saw during $6,000 consolidation.
Comment:
Looks like I am going to miss another day of the Daily Update. Yesterday I was swamped helping Tyler Jenks and Leah Wald prepare for the Hyperwave webinar this weekend. Today I attended the first half of it and tonight I am going to see a concert! Should be able to do another update tomorrow evening.

In the meantime my opinion about the markets have not changed. Everything is looking primed for a big dead cat bounce, however it is important to stay on your toes because if it breaks down then look out below!

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