Igorvbl

Big dump soon? (longterm)

Short
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin




Hello everyone.
This is my first ever post. I take a look at the weekly bitcoin chart and discuss why I think that the market will go down.

BEARISH
Signs

-the chart bounced back of the 3-year resistance, which is usually followed by a big dump.
- The stochastic indicator is overbought and you can see a similar pattern forming as the one right before the big dump of February-March.
-The volume is decreasing while the chart is going up (divergence).

Targets

If the bitcoin can’t break the 3year resistance, I think it will go down. The first real support lies on the 0.236 fib line around $7100. The second resistance is on the 3year support level on $5500.

BULLISH
Signs

I don’t think the bitcoin will rise but just in case:
On the bullish side of things there aren't much positive signs. BTC needs to break the 3year resistance first and have a weekly close above it.

Targets

If the BTC manages to break the 3year resistance it has to break the $10500 level. The next big resistance lies around $11500. Maybe we could even see BTC testing the golden pocket again.




I hope this was a clear analysis of the BTC-chart.
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