Bitcoin has been in a corrective pattern from the low of 17,500 on June 18th and is beginning to exhibit signs that it could either be a reverse expanding triangle or a WXYXZ pattern.
Case for the triangle:
1H
30mn
15mn
Case for WXYXZ:
Alternate WXYXZ
Finally, as a bullish alternative this could also be a leading diagonal in a wave 1 since the rules for leading diagonals are that each wave 1-5 subdivides as a zig-zag although this feels less likely due to the way the pattern starts contracted and then expands as the correction continues.
Case for the triangle:
- Each side subdivides into a zig-zag
- C is 123.6 of A
- A and C made higher highs while B and soon D will be making higher lows
1H
30mn
15mn
Case for WXYXZ:
- X is between 61.8% and 76.4% of W
- Y is less than 123.6% of W
- X is on target to be around 61.8% of W
Alternate WXYXZ
Finally, as a bullish alternative this could also be a leading diagonal in a wave 1 since the rules for leading diagonals are that each wave 1-5 subdivides as a zig-zag although this feels less likely due to the way the pattern starts contracted and then expands as the correction continues.
Comment:
Adding some context to support my reasoning for the extension in minor 3 in (C).
- Alternation between sharp and sideways corrections on both the minor and minute counts.
- MACD Divergence between ((iii)) and ((v))
- High volume spikes on both ((iii)) and 3
- Creating a trend channel between 1 and 3 through the extreme of 2 shows that we are outside the trend channel thus in a wave 4.
Comment:
Looking more like an ((abc)) with a flat in ((b)) rather than a triangle or ((wxyxz)) at the moment. I was incorrect about the flat in ((x)) idea and it seems we got five waves up in ((c)) instead.
It appears we are now in a three-of-three extension in ((1)).
It appears we are now in a three-of-three extension in ((1)).
Comment:
Updated count based on the pump that invalidated the prior comment about the third wave extension in (iii).
Comment:
Wave 4 in?
Reviewing the count, I have changed it from the triangle idea to a WXY with a zig-zag in W, double three in X and double three in Y where Y is 1.618 of W.
With the New Moon which has historically marked tops in BTC can we safely assume that we're done with this corrective rally?
Reviewing the count, I have changed it from the triangle idea to a WXY with a zig-zag in W, double three in X and double three in Y where Y is 1.618 of W.
With the New Moon which has historically marked tops in BTC can we safely assume that we're done with this corrective rally?
Comment:
SPX appears to have completed a minutte ABC correction in minute X of minor 4.
BTC follows SPX so if SPX continues to move impulsively to the upside it could become a wave 3 which would cause BTC to correct higher.
Main bullish count micro 4 of subminutte iii of minutte iii
Considering the WXYXZ my alternate count for now.
BTC follows SPX so if SPX continues to move impulsively to the upside it could become a wave 3 which would cause BTC to correct higher.
Main bullish count micro 4 of subminutte iii of minutte iii
Considering the WXYXZ my alternate count for now.