Whenever the Price deviates up from the Moving Average, Price either falls to the EMA or the EMA moves up top the Price,
We here see a Fresh Weekly Demand formed which has exceeded the opposite Supply hence a Valid Demand.
Price has formed a Daily Supply which has exceeded its opposite Demand hence a Valid Source for a Downtrend,
This is the Supply to Demand Equilibrium Curve, showing the odds of long and short positions.
One can short after a downward confirmation in 30 mins/1H