RichDadph-FX

AUD/USD Retreats Amid Resilient US Dollar; Eyes on Upcoming PMI

Short
OANDA:AUDUSD   Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
The AUD/USD pair faces downward pressure amid a resilient US Dollar, hitting 10-week highs. While US investors anticipate potential tightening of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, Australian inflation softening supports an unchanged rate by the RBA. Technical indicators point to mixed sentiment with bearish bias. Market eyes are on the US PMI data for further cues. Both economic and technical analysis remain crucial in shaping trading strategies.

TRADE IDEA DETAILS
CURRENCY PAIR: AUD/USD
CURRENT TREND: Bearish (Short-term)

TRADE SIGNAL: SELL
👉ENTRY PRICE: Approximately 0.6446 (Nine-day EMA acting as immediate resistance)
✅TAKE PROFIT: 0.6364 (Near the monthly low, offering a technical support level)
❌STOP LOSS: 0.6489 (Just above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, acting as a key resistance)

ANALYSIS:
The AUD/USD pair has shown signs of bearish momentum in the short term. The technical indicators such as the MACD line and 14-day RSI being below 50 suggest a bearish bias.

From a fundamental perspective, the resilient US Dollar and the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate tightening contribute to a negative outlook on AUD, especially with the softening of inflation in Australia.

FINAL THOUGHTS:
This trade idea is based on both technical analysis and current economic factors influencing the AUD/USD pair. As with all trades, it's vital to remain vigilant and adjust the strategy as necessary, based on real-time data and market conditions. Given the expected US PMI data and the possible tightening of US monetary policy, traders should closely monitor these events, as they could significantly impact the pair's direction.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.