glennhowell

AUDCAD | Floor isn't going to hold

Short
glennhowell Updated   
FX:AUDCAD   Australian Dollar/Canadian Dollar
On Friday, price opened the day at 0.9150. It closed the day at 0.9095 - a 55 pip drop, significant for a pair as docile as the AUDCAD.

Retail trade was positioned 66% long on the pair at Fridays open. And by market open today, that number had jumped to a whopping 78%.

When Retail Rick is positioned one way, I'm really keen on taking the other side.
A quick switch to the weekly chart shows what the retail crowd is betting in - its betting on this currently level holding.

But why should it? Because it has in the past?
Or maybe it must bounce because price has been in a downtrend for so long, it just "has to" go up, right?

Nope.

I will be looking to short this pair in the coming weeks, down to about 0.8700 (and beyond if it keeps going)
Trade closed: target reached

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.