McGuireTO

APH well positioned for a sector-wide bull break

McGuireTO Updated   
TSX:APH   None
APH is also in a 4hr equilibrium, the break of which will give us clues to either further sell off or to the low of the dump being in.

I'm looking at support of 14.11 and resistance of 17.33. Our lower high may be set at 16.77 but I'm not yet convinced by this.

A break of 14.11 and we're looking down to 13.76. A break of resistance and we have a lack of resistance on the daily up until 20.69. Watch the Middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart as a likely profit target, as price tends to reject the first test of this level. That's currently at 17.69. Update that level each day.

The daily setup here is a bear flag, I need to see a bull break of the equilibrium to negate the bear flag. The bull volume does stand out on Aphria, however the direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks.

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For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week.

By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
Comment:
APH is holding up the best right now, with CGC and ACB having broken to lower lows. APH did however break the 4hr eq bearish, and 13.76 is the last support now, a loss of which will confirm the daily bear flag. Next support after that is 13.34 and 11.98. Be careful, we're in an area with a lack of support here
Comment:
If we see SPY break down to lower lows, this correlation will favour the Canadian MJ bears

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