Shepherd_Investor

AMZN to $188

Long
BATS:AMZN   Amazon.com
1HR Chart

Amazon ( AMZN ) has developed a bullish flagpole formation that is more easily seen on the hourly charts. This may serve as a continuation pattern that will launch AMZN to a 52 week high of $188 -- a level that hasn't been tested since July of 2021. Fibonacci retracement levels for the current trading pattern support the $188 ceiling as this value rests near the 168.1% level.


On-Balance Volume (OBV) has a positive slope which suggests that bullish investors are outpacing the bears. I also recently began using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicators. While my experience with RSI and MACD is limited, the RSI appears to be approaching a bearish crossover before the MACD crosses above its signal line. I interpret this as a possible correction to the pennant support line (the 4th leg) with a near immediate recovery.


1D Chart

A share price in the $180s should be carefully watched as this level has been a significant area of resistance in the past. As tempted as I am to suggest it may be forming a double top, the middle trough dipped too low and it appears that AMZN may be trading in a horizontal channel. If AMZN surpasses the $188 price ceiling with significant volume then a 12 month price target of $250 is pragmatic. Should the opposite occur then a 12 month target of $80 could also be expected.




Trade active:
Ascending channel in progress. On several time charts, MACD is about to cross its signal line from above which is a bearish signal. Possible low of $170.60 before future movements can be accurately projected.

Trade active:
It is now a possibly good time for Puts as AMZN appears to be on course for a correction to the ascending channel support line, approximately $162.50.


1D chart reveals more significant, bearish signals: RSI has a negative slope and is beneath its MA line while MACD shows an approaching cross from above.


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