AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) is a multinational semiconductor company that specializes in designing and manufacturing computer processors, graphics processing units (GPUs), and other related technologies. AMD is known for its Ryzen processors, Radeon graphics cards, and EPYC server processors. The company competes with Intel in the CPU market and NVIDIA in the GPU market, aiming to provide high-performance and energy-efficient solutions for various computing needs, including gaming, data centers, and personal computing.
Starting from a technical perspective, looking at the monthly chart, AMD looks like it may have finished its grand cycle after completing 5 big waves up according to the Elliott Wave theory, especially since the price did not manage to break above the 100% Fibonacci Extension level ($165.00 zone) which may signal the end of a cycle according to Elliott Waves. Thus, we may currently be in the middle of an ABC corrective cycle specifically in wave B which is an upside retest before the downside continuation. Since the price is retesting a critical zone, the $130.00 area (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement and yellow trendline retest), not breaking above it will be a great opportunity to short this stock towards $75.00 as our first target (previous wave iv). Breaking $75.00 will cause further downside toward retesting previous lows.
From a fundamental perspective, one concern about investing in AMD stock may be its seemingly stretched valuation. AMD currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.5 times, which is almost 70% above the industry average. It is also well above some of its main peers, such as Intel, which trades at a modest 8 times.
Because it's considered a growth technology stock, the market has priced AMD according to its future potential, rather than its financial results. However, AMD's valuation has been higher than its peers due to its sharp growth — over 760% in the last five years — and its opportunity to keep growing at a considerable pace.
This puts AMD under pressure to keep reporting high revenue growth, and not meeting investors' expectations may be catastrophic for the company's stock price in case of a bad earnings report. Investors who delve deeper into the semiconductor sector may find cheaper opportunities at the moment.
Not to mention the combination of tight monetary policy and declining credit availability which could take its toll on the economy over the course of the year. A weak economy will pressure earnings growth and likely lead to negative sentiment in the markets.
Note that evaluating a company's growth potential is crucial. If a stock's valuation is based on overly optimistic growth expectations that may not materialize, such as today's AMD case during an AI bubble boom, it could be considered overvalued.
Goodluck everyone.
M.Y.
Starting from a technical perspective, looking at the monthly chart, AMD looks like it may have finished its grand cycle after completing 5 big waves up according to the Elliott Wave theory, especially since the price did not manage to break above the 100% Fibonacci Extension level ($165.00 zone) which may signal the end of a cycle according to Elliott Waves. Thus, we may currently be in the middle of an ABC corrective cycle specifically in wave B which is an upside retest before the downside continuation. Since the price is retesting a critical zone, the $130.00 area (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement and yellow trendline retest), not breaking above it will be a great opportunity to short this stock towards $75.00 as our first target (previous wave iv). Breaking $75.00 will cause further downside toward retesting previous lows.
From a fundamental perspective, one concern about investing in AMD stock may be its seemingly stretched valuation. AMD currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.5 times, which is almost 70% above the industry average. It is also well above some of its main peers, such as Intel, which trades at a modest 8 times.
Because it's considered a growth technology stock, the market has priced AMD according to its future potential, rather than its financial results. However, AMD's valuation has been higher than its peers due to its sharp growth — over 760% in the last five years — and its opportunity to keep growing at a considerable pace.
This puts AMD under pressure to keep reporting high revenue growth, and not meeting investors' expectations may be catastrophic for the company's stock price in case of a bad earnings report. Investors who delve deeper into the semiconductor sector may find cheaper opportunities at the moment.
Not to mention the combination of tight monetary policy and declining credit availability which could take its toll on the economy over the course of the year. A weak economy will pressure earnings growth and likely lead to negative sentiment in the markets.
Note that evaluating a company's growth potential is crucial. If a stock's valuation is based on overly optimistic growth expectations that may not materialize, such as today's AMD case during an AI bubble boom, it could be considered overvalued.
Goodluck everyone.
M.Y.