Applied Materials - Bullish pullback trade ?
Applied Materials (
AMAT
) has an interesting chart in that it tends to pull back below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. I tried to identify a clear area of support for each pullback, but it seems arbitrary. You can see the Keltner Channel falls just short of where the stock reverses the second time and the most recent pullback is actually pulling back to the 34 EMA which I initially did not want to put on my chart to avoid too many lines... but I figured, seeing is believing, so I put a big fat orange line to add to the chart.
AMAT is an upward trending stock and has decent volume...approx 5 million shares traded today...I sorted the S&P 500 constituents by volume and AMAT was #19 in volume (#1 being highest volume which was GE). I did see other stocks that were pulling back as well, but something about their charts didn't convince me.
OK prediction time... so based on what I see on the charts I think we might see AMAT find support at $62.65 ... from there I think its going to ride back up. It is oversold based on the 60 min time frame, but not quite there on the daily time frame... so keep an eye on it tomorrow. If it comes down to $62.65 or to the lower Keltner channel band I wouldn't be surprised... but be wary if it breaks below that. Those considering to go long now, might be a little early...or could be lucky and end up hitting it right on the nose because it doesn't tend to stray too far below the 21 EMA and today's red candle was a decent size.
AMAT
) has an interesting chart in that it tends to pull back below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. I tried to identify a clear area of support for each pullback, but it seems arbitrary. You can see the Keltner Channel falls just short of where the stock reverses the second time and the most recent pullback is actually pulling back to the 34 EMA which I initially did not want to put on my chart to avoid too many lines... but I figured, seeing is believing, so I put a big fat orange line to add to the chart. AMAT is an upward trending stock and has decent volume...approx 5 million shares traded today...I sorted the S&P 500 constituents by volume and AMAT was #19 in volume (#1 being highest volume which was GE). I did see other stocks that were pulling back as well, but something about their charts didn't convince me.
OK prediction time... so based on what I see on the charts I think we might see AMAT find support at $62.65 ... from there I think its going to ride back up. It is oversold based on the 60 min time frame, but not quite there on the daily time frame... so keep an eye on it tomorrow. If it comes down to $62.65 or to the lower Keltner channel band I wouldn't be surprised... but be wary if it breaks below that. Those considering to go long now, might be a little early...or could be lucky and end up hitting it right on the nose because it doesn't tend to stray too far below the 21 EMA and today's red candle was a decent size.
Comment:
Looks like it reached the lower Keltner band at openining bell. So lets observe and see if begins to climb next week.
Comment:
Friday 8/21/2020 2:46 p.m. ET:
AMAT is at $62.00, which is right at the lower keltner channel band. This would be the ideal entry point as it has pivoted here in the past. Set stops according to your own risk.
AMAT is at $62.00, which is right at the lower keltner channel band. This would be the ideal entry point as it has pivoted here in the past. Set stops according to your own risk.