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Tailwinds build for Aluminium

COMEX:ALI1!   Aluminum Futures
Paradoxically, aluminium was one of the worst performing base metals over the past month (22 May to 23 June 2023) despite the bauxite ore ban potentially tightening the market. In 2022, Indonesia produced some 21 million tonnes of bauxite, according to data from the US Geological Survey, making it the world’s fifth-largest producer. Almost 85 percent was exported overseas. According to data from the International Aluminium Institute, global production of primary aluminium registered a slight increase of 0.2% month-on-month in May 2023. The information portal Shanghai Metals Markets has reported that aluminium producers in the Yunnan region in China have been permitted since 17 June to ramp their operations up again after having been forced to scale them back since last autumn because electricity was rationed due to
drought. However, the ongoing heatwaves in many parts of China may drive production halts back again.

Aluminium futures inventory is 21% lower than 3 months ago, mainly as a result of Shanghai Futures Exchange inventory declining over that time window.

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