So this spread revolves around the simple, brutal strength that we are seeing in the economy right now. People are spending huge amounts of money on eating out right now, and given the ISM and UMCSI numbers I don't see that slowing down any time soon. Here, we pit a strong, cyclical restaurant chain specializing in chicken against a weak, defensive, consumer...
So this play is a complex spread that pits a strong machinery company and a strong retail / cons. disc. company against two weak chemical makers. While the play may initially not make much sense, the alpha here is generated from the comments that companies in these sectors made in the last ISM and NMI reports. Expected weakness in chemicals as input prices...
So this spread's logic comes from the recent ISM report where real estate (leasing) conditions are expected to remain strong, while capital investment in deep-water drilling falls off a ledge. This spread pits a beautiful land play with crude exposure - TPL - against a weak, weak drilling company with exposure to the deep-water drilling arena - PKD. After today's...
