Trader mbrannigan — Trading Ideas & Charts

WEEKEND UPDATE NOV 12 2023 - OP EX WK / HOLIDAY WATCH VOLATILITY

, 1D

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.41 (Down from -.26 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.04 (Down from 4.15 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.70% down from 49.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 51.80% down from 53.60% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Counter Trend Rally Gold ( GLD ) - Not...

WEEKEND UPDATE NOV 5 2023 - DO FLOWS PRODUCE YEAR END RALLY

SPY

, 1DLong

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.26 (Down from -.15 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.15 (Down from 4.52 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.70% down from 49.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 51.80% down from 53.60% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Counter Trend Rally Gold ( GLD ) -...

WEEKEND UPDATE OCT 29 2023 - POTENTIAL DOWNSIDE EXHAUSTION

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.15 (Down from -.14 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.52 (Up from 4.50 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 49.00% up from 47.60% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 53.60% down from 54.50% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Not Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) -...

WEEKEND UPDATE OCT 15 2023 - RISKS ELEVATED, STAY DILIGENT

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.41 (Down from -.30 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.25 (Down from 4.38 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 49.00% up from 47.60% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 53.60% down from 54.50% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Counter Trend...

WEEKEND UPDATE OCT 8 2023 - CHAOTIC WEEKEND, FUTURES DOWN < 1%

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.30 (Up from -.44 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.38 (Up from 4.09 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 49.00% up from 47.60% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 53.60% down from 54.50% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable (Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) -...

WEEKEND UPDATE OCT 1 2023 - NO SHUTDOWN, 4TH QTR - WILL WE RALLY

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.44 (Up from -.66 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.09 (Up from 3.89 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 47.60% up from 46.40% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 54.50% up from 52.70% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable (Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) -...

WEEKEND UPDATE SEP 24 2023 - BEARS GAIN THE UPPER HAND

SPY

, 1DShort

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.66 (Up from -.69 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.89 (Up from 3.78 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 47.60% up from 46.40% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 54.50% up from 52.70% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable (Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Not Investable Gold ( GLD ) -...

WEEKEND UPDATE SEP 17 2023 - WILL THE US FED PAUSE OR RAISE??

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.69 (Up from -.72 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.78 (Down from 3.90 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 47.60% up from 46.40% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 54.50% up from 52.70% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable (Pullback) Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US...

WEEKEND UPDATE SEP 10 2023 - BULLS HANGING ON BY A THREAD

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.72 (Down from -.69 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.90 (Up from 3.85 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 47.60% up from 46.40% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 54.50% up from 52.70% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable (Pullback) Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US...

WEEKEND UPDATE SEP 4 2023 - THE BULLS REGAIN THE UPPER HAND

SPY

, 1DLong

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.69 (Up from -.78 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.85 (Down from 3.91 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 47.60% up from 46.40% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 52.70% down from 53.90% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable (Pullback) Gold ( GLD ) - Investable...

WEEKEND UPDATE AUG 27 2023 - WILL THE BEARISH FLOWS CONTINUE

SPY

, 1DShort

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.78 (Down from -. 66 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.91 (Down from 3.95 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 46.40 up from 46.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 52.70% down from 53.90% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable (Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable (Pullback) Gold...

WEEKEND UPDATE AUG 20 2023 - ITS NOW OR NEVER FOR THE BEARS

SPY

, 1DShort

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.66 (Up from -.73 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.95 (Down from 3.98 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 46.40 up from 46.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 52.70% down from 53.90% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable (Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable (Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable (Pullback) Gold (...

WEEKEND UPDATE AUG 13 2023 DAILY BULLISH MARKET STRUCTURE BROKEN

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.73 (No change from -.73 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.83 (Down from 3.98 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 46.40 up from 46.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 52.70% down from 53.90% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable(Pullback) Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable(Pullback) Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD )...

WEEKEND UPDATE AUG 6 2023 - WE NEED TO HOLD THESE LEVELS

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.73 (Up from -.91 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.98 (Up from 3.78 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Slower = 46.40 up from 46.00% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Slower = 52.70% down from 53.90% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US 30yr Treasury...

WEEKEND UPDATE JUL 30 2023 - DID WE SEE A CRACK IN THE BULL?

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.91 (No Change from -.91 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.78 (Down from 3.90 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.00 down from 46.90% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 53.90% up from 50.30% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US 30yr...

WEEKEND UPDATE JULY 23 2023 - FED AND EARNINGS THIS WEEK

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.98 (Down from -.91 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.90 (Down from 3.97 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.00 down from 46.90% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 53.90% up from 50.30% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable US 30yr...

WEEKEND UPDATE JULY 15 2023 - BETTER THAN EXPECTED CPI AND PPI

SPY

, 1D

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.91 (Down from -.88 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 3.97 (Down from 4.10 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.00 down from 46.90% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 53.90% up from 50.30% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable(Pullback) US...

WEEKEND UPDATE JULY 9 2023 - A WHOLE LOT OF NOTHING!

SPY

, 1DLong

mbrannigan

Macro 2/10 YR CURVE - Inverted = -.88 (Up from -1.06 last week) HIGH YIELD SPREADS = 4.10 (Down from 4.14 last week) US ISM PMI - Contracting Faster = 46.00 down from 46.90% US ISM SERVICES - Growing Faster = 53.90% up from 50.30% S&P 500 ( SPY ) - Investable Nasdaq100 ( QQQ ) - Investable Russell2000 ( IWM ) - Investable Gold ( GLD ) - Investable(Pullback) US...