kewlkat

kewlkat Updated 

Been MIA, but this isn't what I think will happen this is going to happen. Price discovery at these level plus the unknowns of the ETF momentum, I conservatively would say 77k, 80k isn't off the table but price discovery and the sell pressure on historical new aths is tricky with extremely liquid and volatile price action. So 77k is were we are looking at the...

kewlkat

Last 15 years this seasonal trade has a 93% success rate. Entry is on paper 12/22 however entering it a little early isn't the end of the world. Looking to exit before the 9th of Jan but leaving myself room incase i need to leave it open. "I'm never going to financially recover after that last trade." -Kewlkat

kewlkat

Solona been ripping, last ATH was around $250ish, retraced a little over 95% due to the retracement. Some considered it was a dead project as some of the FUD(SBF, Broken chain, VC etc...) and the retracement. However.... I don't think this mofo is done. The price movement has outcompeted all of the top 20 MRKTCAP. $70 is resistance and the new consolidation...

kewlkat

Short Trudeau Coin, Entry date 11/10 expected position exit 11/29, 15 year hit rate 93%. Let's Go. "hopefully this won't end up like my copper trade...." -KewlKat

kewlkat Updated 

Currently my prediction for the last 6months has been fairly close with the price movements, we fell into the accumulation zone and now I will be predicting the price movement until march. My predictions are off historical movement, not doing wyckoff, elliot wave, etc.. anymore as I have found that they are meaningless in the economic state of the world. 10-12k...

kewlkat Updated 

Shorted in Sept shorting in Oct. Another 30 year T-bond short most effective day to open over the last 15 yrs is 10/2 missed it but opening today. Will want to hold this open until the 24th of October. Look at the December Contract as the front running contract for this trade. Futures = Calender spread back date the long side to the March contract. Options......

kewlkat Updated 

Sorry been out the whole month looking for my kids. Anyway this one will bring my family back. HG(copper) qualitative analysis. Reasoning. Northern henpishphere most industrialized hemisphere looking to re stockpile copper for construction for the winter. As the building season winds down stockpiles are depleted. With all the new gov funding ARPA/BIL act...

kewlkat

Been keeping my eye on this for a minute, BTCUSD Historical Movement Coincidence, seems to be setting up the same way as in 2019 where we had 8 months or so before the halvening, the movements have been similar. If we come off the new local lows call this "Volatility Contraction Pattern". 5 charactistics that make this up: -A premarket gap or explosive move off...

kewlkat Updated 

Bonds are gross and so is this trade.... Short Trade (Naked no Spread) Entry Sept 3rd, exit Sept 15 Tick Size: 32nds of a point ($31.25/ contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract. Margin Maintance:4290/3900 Contract Size:$100,000 Have fun with this one................................................ "Wait until the kids get a load of this......... ...

kewlkat Updated 

BTCUSD Sitting here twiddling my thumbs for confirmation, maybe premature, probably not. Having a double top in any market, the price action should regress back to the neckline. Augmented Neckline is a theory I have, in regards to extremely liquid markets or newly emerging markets, to be clear in regards to double tops. With BTCUSD or any newly emerging...

kewlkat Updated 

On the backside of the short we can ape in for the bounce off the bottom, would not recommend futures as the open interest on the contracts will be low, options is how to play this. Safe side is sell the put (don't advise selling naked unless you can manage the trade at all hours) or a credit spread to hedge any risk. This will provide ample time to collect the...

kewlkat Updated 

Good morning, I have traded this for the last 15 years, I am 14-1 on this trade, has a high probability of success. Time Frame is 8/2-8/19. The initial "crash and return to mean" is due to the seasonal demand consequence of the market. Low margin req, calender spreads would be a good option, I will let you figure out the set up as I can't give everything away....

kewlkat Updated 

Disclaimer-Doing this mobile, it really sucks to be honest but here we go. British Pound October 2023 - Short Why V instead of U, concerns about the open interest on the September contracts on the CME. Open interest shirks about one month out, don’t get left holding the bag. For option traders, this does not affect your trade, your preference should be 6BU3...

kewlkat Updated 

Well the reasoning is clear but apparently I cannot link anything or talk about any published information due to the mods hitting me with strikes every chance they get, so. .... Aug 1- Aug 29 for the mini, has a 14-1 win/loss ratio in the last 15 yrs, 93% chance of success.. This is most like do to low vol as the majority of the hedge funds and whales go on...

kewlkat Updated 

It's Corn! Overview This is my bread and butter, for the last 10 years I have played this trade. I come from an agriculture and energy background and will break down why this always happens in July as I feel this information is extremely relevant and can be applied to other agriculture based commodities (****note: just because it provides an explanation for corn...

kewlkat Updated 

S&P for years has been having steady growth for years, last month's monthly close had everyone looking at the break in trend. With the break in trend we will be looking at lower levels and I have mapped out the support if Biden and the feds can control the market narrative... Though it does look like this is the beginning of a break down, play the supports as...

kewlkat Updated 

BTC has had some tremendous movement in the last week, dipping under 16k and challenging the 22K historical resistance line. One thing to keep in mind with these movements, Saylor bought and another 4 bn buy on futures (crypto futures not CME which would have no affect on the price as the CME is a speculative market). Seeing this I would be save to say "I don't...

kewlkat

Heading into the season, not an ideal set up with all the over extensions we have had in the past year with the commodities market, however might as well try to make some money off the tickers. NGG23 expire on the 23rd of Jan meaning we do not want to have the trade extend past the 23rd of Dec. or all the open interest will be sucked out. In addition we need to...