jamesc5

jamesc5 Updated 

$SPY has a gap to fill between $403 and $400. I'd be surprised if it didn't fill by the end of the month.

jamesc5

$SPY bulls really need to step up to the plate here and push it over $460.

jamesc5

I'm currently looking at the GDAX orderbook on BTCUSD - hard to ignore all that resting liquidity on the book down in the $30k-$20k range. My bull case: dead cat bounce here, one last push down to $40k or below before resuming path to ATHs. My bear case: clear rejection and immediate push below $40k. Should be interesting few weeks/months as this plays out.

jamesc5

I think we have to be running out of sellers here, but I could be wrong.

jamesc5

long-term bullish on btc but starting to feel like consolidation isn't over yet. watching that big wick down on dec4.

jamesc5

Probably going to trade sideways for another 2-3 weeks but we should see the market decide if the next move is up or down by early/mid December.

jamesc5

Even with all the hype around this company I think this could take a while to really play out... Should be a wild ride either way.

jamesc5

Boeing has been taking the stairs back up from it's Covid lows. If you want to hold for a year or two I think this is a relatively good place to get in.

jamesc5

Decent gap between 165 and 170 - I think it will probably have to fill and consolidate before the next earnings report and then stock split in October.

jamesc5

Regression channel on the past month(ish) would put the $27 strike 2 standard deviations below the forecasted mean on Friday 7/2. Could be a swing trade opportunity on the $27 call. Should go ITM barring market risk.

jamesc5

$F more than 2 SD off expected value based on post-Covid regression.

jamesc5

I put a regression channel starting at the end of the covid volatility. Currently trading ~2 standard deviations below forecasted mean. If trend holds, $115 call would still be ~2 standard deviations below the mean forecasted by the regression channel. Let me know what you are thinking.