This is only valid if price doesn't shortage in current zone.
If price goes to lower end of zone and shortages and comes straight back, get out breakeven as price is not ready to fall
Here we have a good shift of equilibrium to the upside, however keep in mind that we are in new territory and lack data of supply levels in this range
Trade is only valid if the london open supply is fully absorbed and breaks
We are seeing great shifts of equilibrium to the downside and surpluses of supply confirming this. The shortages are weakening and being sold into so a break of the last shortage would be a perfect area to enter short.
We have a medium probability short opportunity here. Those who are familiar with microeconomics knows how to read the supply and demand in relation to our reference equilibrium. Explanation on the chart
