The reasons why I strongly believe this move will happen are the following: According to the CFTC non-commercials are shorting CAD. Non-commercials have 20,388 positions long and 68,914 positions shorts. This means that they are selling more CAD than they actually buying it. According to this info we could expect a move to the upside. From a monthly...
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis for USD/JPY 1. Monthly Time Frame: - Key Observation: Noticeable rejection of the USD/JPY price at a significant support level, indicating potential bullish sentiment or a reversal point. - Additional Note: High liquidity observed at price highs, marked by two equal highs, which could signify resistance zones. 2. Weekly...
The current economic indicators, alongside commentary from key Federal Reserve officials, suggest a cautious approach towards the EUR/USD pair. With the U.S. showing no immediate intent to cut interest rates due to a robust labor market and unresolved inflation targets, traders should prepare for potential dollar strength and volatility in the currency markets....
This week's focus is on the potential for a minor retracement in the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), highlighted by a noticeable bearish divergence when compared with the 10-year Treasury yield and the 10-year T-Note futures. This divergence is particularly significant as it suggests a weakening momentum in the dollar's recent uptrend. While both the 10-year Treasury...
A comprehensive analysis spanning multiple timeframes presents a bearish outlook, augmented by fundamental factors. On the monthly chart, there's a clear rejection at a significant resistance level, indicating strong selling pressure at these price points. Shifting to the weekly timeframe, a notable observation is the breach of a critical support level, which has...
Forex trading success hinges on a well-defined strategy, as it sets a clear direction and methodology, whether it be scalping, day trading, or another approach. Key to this is understanding the market conditions under which your strategy thrives, as different strategies perform variably across market environments. Employing technical indicators is crucial in...
EUR/CHF Technical Analysis 1. Monthly Chart Overview: Trend Analysis: The EUR/CHF pair on the monthly chart shows a significant overextension. This suggests that the market may be overstretched, and there's a heightened probability of a price retracement or correction. 2. Weekly Chart Insights: Fibonacci Levels: The weekly chart exhibits an even more...
Fundamental Analysis: 1. US Retail Sales Increase: Recent data shows a 0.6% increase in retail sales in December, marking the strongest pace in three months. This indicates a solid holiday season and a resilient consumer attitude in the US, which could be a positive indicator for the US dollar (USD). 2. Consumer Resilience and Economic Outlook: Despite...
Analysis for AUDUSD: Bearish Outlook 1. U.S. Inflation Trends: - Recent Data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 3.4% year-over-year in December, the highest in three months. This rise was more than expected, indicating a continued inflationary pressure. - Core Inflation: Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and...
From a fundamental perspective, this pair has aggressively recovered upward. This is attributed to the downward trend shift of the dollar and projections for the NZD, which include talks of a potential interest rate hike in the first quarter of the upcoming year. However, the U.S. economy is showing signs of cooling down, leading to projections of rate cuts...
In the world of trading, one of the most influential factors that can either make or break a trader is the mind. How often have we found ourselves saying, "I should have done this" or "I would have done that" after a trade has unfolded? Yet, when we were in the heat of the moment, those seemingly obvious solutions never crossed our minds. To overcome this common...
The price has been on a significant bullish rally, breaking historical highs. This suggests that the price has encountered strong buying interest, indicating the presence of buy-side liquidity. From a technical perspective, this suggests that a retracement may be imminent. As further confirmation, on the daily chart, we can see that the price reached the...
There are several reasons why we could see a bullish move in the USD/CAD currency pair: 1. **Moderating Canadian Inflation**: Multiple sources, including RBC Economics, NBF, and CIBC, suggest that Canadian inflation is expected to moderate in November. This is primarily driven by factors like a drop in gasoline prices, easing food price growth, and a slowdown in...
The reason why I am still firmly convinced that this movement is going to happen is supported by several compelling factors. Let's explore them in detail: 1.Non-commercials continue to aggressively add long positions in this currency pair. This indicates a strong bullish sentiment and suggests that these market participants have high expectations for its future...
The reasons why we can expect gold to see more downward movement are as follows: Decreasing inflation: If inflation expectations decrease, it can reduce the demand for gold as a hedge against currency devaluation and as a safe haven during inflationary periods. Reduced demand for gold due to decreased inflation concerns could exert downward pressure on its...
To obtain this information, we need to look at four things: -Fed Rates: The Federal Reserve's interest rates decisions can have a significant impact on financial markets and the overall economy. -US5Y (US 5-year Treasury bonds): Yields on US 5-year Treasury bonds are an important measure to assess market expectations for short-term interest rates and investor...
Before we begin, we need to understand what liquidity is. A market with high liquidity is one where there is a large number of buyers and sellers willing to trade in that particular asset. This means that there is a high availability of buy and sell orders, allowing transactions to be executed quickly and with minimal impact on prices. Where are the most liquid...
The price is extremely bullish in all major time frames. If we look at the non-commercial's positions, we can see that short are aggressively increasing in JPY. Meaning JPY is getting weaker. Monthly: The price is in the retracement phase. If you take the fib form low to high of the retracement, .5 fib level is in confluence with important structure that the...