Sentiment is king in much of crypto and foreign exchange trading. This is mainly due to the fact that hedge funds, banks, and other financial institutions own all of the data on trader's positions and then can leverage that data by betting against the trend or the crowd to profit handsomely. Data from IG though can now give us a window into crowd sentiment. If you...
Traders are now aware of the April 12th deadline and that it will be extended into May if Parliament passes Prime Minister May's deal she made with the EU earlier in the month. However, the last deal she presented to Parliament lost by a staggering 150 votes. That's quite a bit to make up in 20 days. And what traders are probably not pricing in yet is the...
Traders are now aware of the April 12th deadline and that it will be extended into May if Parliament passes Prime Minister May's deal she made with the EU earlier in the month. However, the last deal she presented to Parliament lost by a staggering 150 votes. That's quite a bit to make up in 20 days. And what traders are probably not pricing in yet is the...
Now that we know we have a bit of an extension until April 12th, but that will be extended into May if Parliament passes Prime Minister May's deal she made with the EU earlier in the month which had already lost by a staggering 150 votes. That's quite a bit to make up in 20 days. Overall, I'm now quite negative on every pound pair. Here's more words and charts on...
I wrote quite a bit about overall trade war sentiment here and in general I still do think that in spite of the influence officials may have on this pair it still may react negatively to trade war sentiment, but probably much more on potential capital flows if tariffs are put back into place. But the easier way to find a relationship between trade war sentiment...
Now that we are above resistance, are we now about to conceptualization previous resistance as support? It's hard to say given the crazy amount of volatility around Brexit which will be coming if Parliament fails to pass legislation, or if US-China trade war is still on which is trending back in that direction, or if the Fed realizes that they want to actually cut...
Just minutes ago, Reuters reported that Lightheizer and Mnuchin are going to Bejing for talks. However, trade war detente is now not on the table until June. Trump threatens to keep tariffs on if China won't hold up their end of the deal on intellectual property. Honestly its not looking good. It is difficult to tell if this trend will continue to go negative and...
Ordinary least squares method suggests we are still trending down in this pair even as many other Southeast Asian currencies are trending much further down such as USDSGD as can be seen here: In that respect, Thailand is an under-performer, but momentum has stalled even though some of the technicals are pointing towards a bit of an upward rebound. However, I am...
Moving averages suggest we have some more way to go down as we continue a strong downward trend. Moreover, the strength of this slide is notable. Resistance from February was broken as was resistance from January AND price action also broke a trend line from back in 2018. In spite of this, RSI and stochastic suggests we are poised for a rebound as both are...
While moving averages at the weekly level only half bullish, the stochastic is now consistently flashing to sell while RSI heads in that direction. While this has been reversed in the past such as 2017, conditions are different. Recently, Trump indicated a trade war detente may not come until June if it comes at all as he threatens to keep tariffs on against the...
This chart points to a number of conclusions. First, Litecoin is obviously the best performer over the past few weeks and if we extend this to November 2018 its still the best performer. Second, price action is still moving above the 50 day exponential moving average, so that's good. However, RSI is close to sell and also the stochastic oscillator is flashing...
The fundamental analysis of this is fairly easy. Mergers are good for stocks. Why? Because it usually means increasing profitability. Why? Because it oftentimes leads to reducing inefficiencies and eliminating two teams that could be consolidated into one whether its with commercial banks, foreign exchange desks, etc. This merger would lead to the cutting of...
Three more months is what's being asked for by May as the UK attempts to muddle its way through this going on three years long political fiasco. I'm sure you're more interested in the technicals, so here's my read: stay away. I won't trade this until there's some sort of a clearer picture of the direction of where Brexit is heading. Right now though, I'm...
Here we have Litecoin in black against a bevy of other cryptos including Bitcoin, EOS, Monero, and Ethereum. As can be seen, it wasn't doing great compared to its peers before the September and November 2018 setbacks, but since then has outperformed all o its peers. Keep in mind though, these cryptos, nearly all relatively liquid cryptos really, are...
To be brief, Mexican growth is slowing with prospects for the G20 economy to slow further. Technicals oscillators shown below indicate a buy as well. This buy is a bit crowded however, so I wouldn't be surprised if the contrarian sell comes in strong. But I lean long. If you like my analysis, please feel free to check out my other work at...
I'll be honest. The only reason I am writing about Litecoin is because I find it to be the least unattractive crypto on the market. First the view from 30,000 feet up and then lets get grounded in technical jargon. Equity markets are dying for some incentivization for uptrend and if main US indices go under cryptos will probably not be a nice place to be for...
While there is much room to go before we hit resistance, I am really not a huge fan of this overall lackluster performance. Keep in mind, the BoJ owns upwards of 80 percent of the entire Japanese ETF market. 80 percent. Let that sink in. Also, export data is weak in an economy where exports make up 18 percent of GDP. If we gain five percent from today, nobody will...
If one is to believe that Chinese growth will continue to slow as is my bias, then you better believe that's terrible for South Korean equities. Today, its the worst performer of all Asian markets so far this afternoon. Overall, no major signals from the oscilators, but I won't be sad if I lose 5 percent on this trade as it fits with my fundamental macro view. See...