The U.S. Treasury 10y Yield chart does highlight the powerful drift upward to a range between 3% and 5% nominal yield. The increases in CPI and CORE Inflation are going to continue for much longer and with a probability of a 10% CPI Inflation within 2022. A Yield curve shock among all major Sovereign debt issuers has become more probable, considering the...
The GBP/USD has been declining steadly for the last few months, considering Fiscal and Trade Balance Deficit, while the economy it's very dependent on foreign inflows, to finance it's debt. The British figures of outstanding debt are astonishing and speak of a debt bubble economy fuelled by a fraudulent hyperinflated bubble in Commercial Real Estate and Housing...
The DXY chart on a weekly time scale, highlights an Overbought DXY trend, where the RSI oscillator also signals OVERBOUGHT conditions. In the Chart with the RSI, similar Overbought patterns have been highlighted, with approaching a Sell Signal and a trend reversal. Some macroeconomic elements and financial can force a softening of the USDollar. The American...
The Pound/Dollar Exchange Rate Chart Could Be Providing a Clear Martke Signal With a Double Bottom (W) Pattern. THE GBP/USD EXCHANGE RATE SHOULD BE FAVOURABLE TO THE POUND WITH A BRIEF REBOUND TO GBP/USD 1.34 IN THE NEAR TERM. DRIFTING ABOVE THE SENKOU A/B COULD PROVIDE SOME CONSISTENT STRENGTH TO THE POUND
The 10y BTP Italy's benchmark Sovereign Debt has been discounted below par with other Sovereign Debt securities, in a sign of Sovereign Debt market broader repricing. The outflows from Sovereign Debt markets have in all probability helped to fuel the reckless allocation to stocks seen in these weeks. In our view, these excessive speculative activities in...
red line consumer purchasing power in $. blue line Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, all items 🙈😆
The tangent line to the Federal Fund Rate of the past two debt cycles has only one tangent point to the curve identifiable in geometrical terms to 1974 12.90% Federal Fund rate. To be clear what anyone can draw in geometrical terms as a tangent line to a curve, in math terms can be defined as the first derivative of the curve in that specific point. The fact that...
Technical indicators and chart patterns could be hinting at an oversold rebound. The Dow Jones Industrial Average trendline it's below the IKH A/B Cloud, which continues to confirm the downtrend or the Bearish trend. Thereby the potential sell-off can't be ignored, as the irrational enthusiasm in stock markets and day traders could lead to misguided positioning in...
The GBP/USD chart on a daily time scale highlights the price/volume trendline of the exchange rate drifting within a structured downslope channel. The GBP/USD 1.2995 has acted as support for the British Pound, meanwhile, the exchange rate price has drifted above the IKH Tenkan line, as a starting trend reversal buy signal, while in fact, approaching the 50...
The EUR/USD chart on a month time scale highlights the continuous downward drifting price/volume trendline of the exchange rate compared to the USDollar. Therefore, from a technical standpoint, further depreciation of the EURO can't be ignored. The main factor in the medium to longer-term will become money markets interest rate differential, as the ECB will not be...
The GBP/USD 1.30 exchange rate chart highlights a trend reversal Hammer candlestick pattern at Oversold conditions should provide a short term bounce to the middle line of the channel GBP/USD 1.325 Most interesting the GBP/USD futures contract have been priced flat near the GBP/USD 1.30, eventually can provide arbitrage opportunities in buying longer-dated...
The EUR/USD chart on a weekly time scale could be hinting at an oversold level in the EUR/USD. The EURO should be able to drift toward the IKH tenkan line at EUR/USD 1.1115 exchange rate level.
CRUDE OIL spot price to average in a range $75<$85 WTI CRUDE OIL FUTURES in backwardation hint at declining Oil prices.
DXY possible outcomes: The Dollar Index could start to top out in the range DXY 99<102 , although the Federal Reserve could be starting a rate hiking cycle, the debt leverage in the economy could not make it possible for the Federal Reserve to raise the Federal Fund rate beyond 2.0%<2.5% that matches the long terms Inflation rate price stability range. Thereby,...