See link below for previous analysis. Netcare recently broke below 1130 invalidating the outlook I had that a bottom was in at that level. There's a minor adjustment in the wave count with wave 4 of (C) a flat pattern and wave 5, starting from 1738cps, looks to be taking the shape of an ending diagonal. As to how much lower wave 5 can go is anyone's guess but I...
See link below for previous analysis. Little has changed with Hulamin since the last analysis, 6 months ago. If anything, price is consolidating further in a Contracting Triangle; a contracting triangle is a neutral pattern and as price consolidates towards the apex, the breakout tends to be more violent. I remain neutral until we get a clear breakout.
See link below for previous analysis. Oceana traded bullishly as previously forecasted. The stock has found resistance at the Double Bottom Neckline zone between 7450 to 7990 cps. Price has consolidated at this range which indicates that the bulls do not want to give the initiative. A clear break beyond 8000cps, preferably on high volume, will validate the...
See link below for previous analysis. Price has breached the 5824 neckline. Now, there are two ways to interpret this pattern: 1- the tradition way; in this case this is a Double Top and the price target is 3600cps. 2- the Elliot Wave way; this is a flat and price can resume the uptrend. The only certainty is uncertainty; this is the why it is key to think in...
See link below for previous analysis. Sasol did not take long to confirm that the down move was not complete. The bounce from 13226 to 17380 is for wave (iv); the current sell-off is for wave (v) of . The earliest indication that wave (v) is done will be a break above 17380. It's a bit late to be bearish and at this mature stage of the trend, I am more...
See link below for previous analysis. Truworths has met resistance in the 8441 to 8529cps zone. Though premature to call this a Double Top, how price action reacts around the 6697cps neckline will hold the key for the short-term outlook. I am neutral for now.
See link below for previous analysis. Gold and JSE Gold gold stock have been on a strong run lately. DRD clearly did not get the memo as the stock is trending up but very slowly comapared to its peers and with the tailwinds provided by the gold price. When such a disconnect occurs, one needs to take a deep look into the fundamentals which is beyond the scope of...
See link below for previous analysis. FirstRand has found the 7700-8000cps zone hard to push through. The two sell-offs at this zone give what can be viewed as a Double Top. Price has recently been consolidating in a contracting triangle which now looks to be breaking down. The trend looks bearish and my initial target is 5000cps.
See link below for previous analysis. A look at the bigger picture of ABSA shows that the stock has a very strong resistance zone between 20371 to 21100cps. The stock has tested this zone on three occasions giving what can be viewed as a Triple Top over 7 years. Interestingly, the bull market from March 2020 has culminated in a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern...
See link below for previous analysis Purple Group released its interim group results for the six months ended 29 February 2024 yesterday and the market loved it. Highlights: -Group revenue increased by 29.3% to R188.8 million -Group operating expenses decreased by 0.4% to R141.8 -Profit attributable to ordinary shareholders of R10.9 million, compared to a loss...
See link below for previous analysis. City Lodge has not taken off as I anticipated. The stock has continued to consolidate sideways without a clear pattern though we have two areas of support and a resistance zone. I have no view at this stage and I will sit on my hands on this one.
See link below for previous analysis Barlo stock has caught a strong bid at 5883 and the rally looks strong. This give me confidence that wave C is probably complete at 5883. Not one to chase momentum, though the stock can continue higher with little pullbacks, i would like to see consolidation or a three wave pullback that holds above 5883 to join the...
See link below for previous analysis. Sibanye's stock made a strong pullback since the previous analysis and challenged the key 1756 invalidation level. Most importantly, price managed to just hold above 1756 therefore keeping the bullish outlook valid. The re-test of 1756 has also created a double bottom reversal pattern which adds to my bullish...
See link below for previous analysis. MTN released its FY'23 results on the 25th of March and it was a mixed bag of results. Salient features: Group service revenue grew by 6.9% (13.5%*) to R210.1bn (2022: R196.5bn) EBITDA (before once-off items) down by 0.5% (9.8%*) to R90.5bn (2022: R90.8bn) EBITDA margin lower by 3.0 percentage points (pp) to 40.9% (1.2 pp*...
See link below for previous analysis. The best way to describe the ascent from the May 2020 low is creepy-crawling. SBK stock has been steady with price well supported by the mid-sloping trendline. As price has continued making higher highs, the MACD has made lower highs giving a bearish divergence signal. This does not imply a bearish reversal but that a...
Naspers has found the going tough since the January 2023 peak, trading sideways in a wide range. The consolidation has not been a textbook rectangle with supporting shifting zones but the resistance has been stern around 355300 cps. The stock caught a big at 267330 and is again approaching the resistance for a third attempt to break above it. I am neutral at...
See link below for previous analysis. Discovery has traced out the three wave decline I forecasted after the five wave advance from 10073 to 16042. The decline is labelled as a zigzag with a triangle wave and wave is now near the support trendline of the falling channel. There is no evidence of a reversal yet. For this bullish, bigger picture ABC outlook to...
See link below for previous analysis. Jubilee has continued to trade lower and having breached 128, i am tentatively abandoning the five wave count as wave (4) has penetrated the price territory of wave (1) violating one of the golden rules of an impulse. The bear market from 426 is forming a falling wedge which is bullish but price can still go lower. I will...