HelenRush

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Capital Markets
Markets Allocation
88 % forex 3 % stocks 9 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
USDEUR 29% | 22 FX_IDC:USDJPY 12% | 9 USDGBP 10% | 8 FX:USDJPY 10% | 8
HelenRush HelenRush UKOIL, D,
UKOIL: Oil: Friday Party
10 0 2
UKOIL, D
Oil: Friday Party

It’s getting more and more difficult to predict the dynamics of oil prices. The asset does everything but follows the logic. The black gold started the day at the mid-57.00 area but during the European morning started sinking. Everything is fine in terms of the fundamentals. OPEC and its allies will probably extend their collective cuts beyond March 2018. US ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDNZD, D,
USDNZD: The Kiwi Is In Trouble
6 0 1
USDNZD, D
The Kiwi Is In Trouble

New Zealand finally made it. After more than three weeks of blandishments, NZ First leader, Winston Peters, made his choice and announced a coalition government with the NZ Labor Party. NZD has already been under some pressure since the 25th of September when the markets opened with a gap lower on the day after elections. During the European morning today, ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USD/JPY: Time To Take Profit?
29 0 2
USDJPY, D
USD/JPY: Time To Take Profit?

Yesterday USD/JPY hardly gave any signs of life. The pair touched 112.47 high, but finished the day back around the open levels. Both Japanese calendar and US docket failed to impress the market. On Monday, USD weakness sent USD/JPY to the 3-week lows. Anyways, USD still has its three trumps – rates, tax reform and the next Fed chairman. Trump may announce the ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDGBP, D,
USDGBP: GBP Is Galloping Along…Towards The South
6 0 2
USDGBP, D
GBP Is Galloping Along…Towards The South

Despite quite hawkish commentaries by Mark Carney, GBP/USD started falling. What's wrong with the pound? The UK CPI index matched estimates at 3.0% yoy and 0.3% mom. Core inflation index, excluding food and energy, came in at 2.7% yoy. This data has not impressed the markets. However, GBP/USD made a good move touching today’s highs at 1.3280, but later retreated ...

HelenRush HelenRush OIL, D,
OIL: Oil Made The Day
5 0 4
OIL, D
Oil Made The Day

Oil broke higher to open the week with a gap. During the weekend the governmental forces of Iraq entered the city of Kiruk and took under control minefields in the region. The disputed city of Kirkuk has always been a ‘bingo’ for the Kurdish region. They regarded it as an integral part of Kurdistan. But Bagdad regards it with similar intensity. Kirkuk has always ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USD: Inflation Is Answer
27 1 5
USDJPY, D
USD: Inflation Is Answer

The dollar got up on the wrong side of the bed. Its last chance is the CPI release. Let’s be honest: even the positive data could hardly help USD to move to the green zone this week. It is not surprising. Trump’s tax reform has proven to be just a distraction, as expected. And the mystery around the next Fed Chair has also disappointed the USD bulls. Although ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDGBP, D,
USDGBP: GBP Dealing With Divorce
11 0 1
USDGBP, D
GBP Dealing With Divorce

“Brexit talks have reached deadlock”, told Barnier today. These are probably the last words one wants to hear when discussing any negotiations. At the beginning of the day, GBP/USD advanced to 1.3265. But, no news on Brexit negotiations is bad news for the Pound. The British currency plummeted 100-pips and now is struggling near the support area at 1.3130. The ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: USD And Its Sword Of Damocles
16 0 0
USDEUR, D
USD And Its Sword Of Damocles

The key event for today is the FOMC minutes. The markets have already priced in the rate hike before the year-end. Under these circumstances, the traders will be very interested in the central bank's stance over the coming months. FYI, in the last meeting 12 of 16 FOMC’s members were ready for at least one more rate hike in 2017. The Fed will probably discuss ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: EUR/USD Is Between Scylla And Charybdis
15 0 2
USDEUR, D
EUR/USD Is Between Scylla And Charybdis

USD started its fall today at the end of the Asian session. There were no specific fundamentals behind the pull-back. The exhaustion of the bulls and the plunge of the treasury yields did their modest bit. Besides, the risk-aversion triggered by North Korea that declared its possession of ballistic missile that would be able to reach the US territory soon. EUR ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDGBP, D,
USDGBP: GBP: In The Middle of Game Of Thrones
13 0 2
USDGBP, D
GBP: In The Middle of Game Of Thrones

Today is good opportunity to take advantage of thin liquidity amid some holidays in USA and Canada. GBP finally received a much-needed respite. Last week the pair lost almost 3 figures and tested 1.30 handle. There was a reason to worry - Theresa May’s unstable political position. It seems that today the clouds dissipated for the prime minister, as the jitters on ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: It’s All About NFP Today
15 0 3
USDEUR, D
It’s All About NFP Today

USD has been demonstrating its strength recently. Probably, today is going to be its Day of Retribution. Of course, there is a probability of Fed’s rate hike in December, possibility of tax reform and some good macroeconomic data behind the dollar’s upsurge. And, yes, USD got an additional boost after the House of Representatives passed the budget for 2018 on to ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDAUD, D,
USDAUD: AUD: Anti-Star Of The Day
6 0 1
USDAUD, D
AUD: Anti-Star Of The Day

All the majors entered their consolidation ranges today ahead of the NFP report except AUD/USD. In spite of the fact the dollar is not in its best shape, AUD/USD is inching south. The Aussie has been under pressure ever since the Asian session, when Australia published the retail sales report with highly disappointing results. Sales fell 0.6% to 2.1% m/m. Here we ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: USD Is Struggling To Prove Its Power
7 0 2
USDEUR, D
USD Is Struggling To Prove Its Power

The dollar finally returned to the Earth and USD-bulls are retreating across the board. USD lost almost all its key drivers. The markets don’t cheer the high chance of a rate hike in December, Trump’s tax reform is not an open and shut case and most of all J. Powell is now the main candidate to replace for Federal Reserve Chair Janet. Why is it not ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDGBP, D,
USDGBP: GBP Is Lying Low
3 0 2
USDGBP, D
GBP Is Lying Low

A very calm day for the markets. To some extent because of holidays, to some extent because of strikes. The UK provided the markets with some macro- and economic news. GBP/USD posted a session low at 1.3230 in the morning. Some buyers were waiting for the pair at these levels and it moved towards the 1.3300 handle before the soft data on construction PMI was ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDEUR, D,
USDEUR: EUR Has No Time To Rest
7 0 1
USDEUR, D
EUR Has No Time To Rest

Euro got hit again. This time from the results of the referendum on Catalan independence. Yesterday 90% of Catalans voted for independence but the turnout was 42.3%. After the German elections last weekend with the contradictory victory of Angela Merkel's party, another sign of separatism is the last thing EU and euro need at the moment. In the morning EUR/USD ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDGBP, D,
USDGBP: GBP/USD Is Heading To South
17 0 1
USDGBP, D
GBP/USD Is Heading To South

Who is under bad luck these days? Who showed wild dances today in the morning? Right, it is the Sterling. One may think what could be the problem since Carney's commentaries should have benefitted the GBP growth. The Bank of England governor told raising interest rates might be appropriate if the economy stayed on track. Even though he added that tightening ...

HelenRush HelenRush USDCAD, D,
USDCAD: USD/CAD Is Surrounded By Unknown
13 0 2
USDCAD, D
USD/CAD Is Surrounded By Unknown

Loonie, one of the markets’ favorites, is probably going to change the course. Yesterday, Bank of Canada governor Poloz told that an appropriate path for rates is very difficult to know because of a number of unknowns around inflation outlook. He also assured the Bank would not be mechanical in policy approach since economy may act differently than in previous ...

HelenRush HelenRush USD, D,
USD: USD Runs Things
2 0 1
USD, D
USD Runs Things

USD is unstoppable this week and especially today. Many strong triggers has been supporting the dollar since the beginning of the week. Yesterday, the head of FOMC Yellen told that “gradual approach to hikes particularly appropriate in light of subdued inflation”. Mrs. Yellen also made a very important hawkish comment: Fed should be wary of moving too ...

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