Here can see an outline of the weekly time frame heading into the 2008 financial crisis and the current day markets. It becomes incredibly clear how similar these patterns are becoming. Are we on the verge of the next crisis? Many would say yes. With Fed Chair Jerome Powell calling at last weeks FOMC for a housing "correction" one would say the comparison is...
With VIX closing just above 30 we can look back and see that historically this has never been a good sign for your retirement accounts. We can almost certainly expect more pain to come to equities.
This inverse SPX 12 month chart takes a simple view on Technical analysis (TA). We can see that through out the history of the SPX inverse we have been trending with a sloping line of resistance. This resistance now sits around $2000 and with the recent FED tightening and fear of prolonged bear market, we should not assume that it wont repeat this pattern again.
Many times in the last 2-3 months I have heard from much larger funds that a recession is a great indicator to buy equities. This is historically untrue and the idea should be frowned upon. Do not fall for the tricks of these people only searching for you commissions. Buy QE sell QT. You will thank me later.
As everyone gets levered to the tits on BTC I see a different story