HI I WOULD LONG SPX NOW AND FOR RISK MANAGEMENT I WOULD HEDGE LIKE IN THE PICTURES AFTER PLACING MY LONG.
There is a risk for a total breakdown below 3000 but i place my bets bullish and cover with hedge if i see that the trade goes wrong.
US stocks vs the Federal Reserve Funding Rate vs the unemployment rate vs 10yr-2yr treasury yields. When the 10yr vs 2yr yield goes negative it means that a 2yr treasury bond is yielding more interest than a 10yr treasury bond and it is also known as a yield curve inversion. The red vertical lines in the chart are drawn from yield curve inversions which are...
Hi traders,
SPX500USD is still in a big consolidation. It can go lower to the lower 4H demand to complete a big A-B-C correction. And after that it can go up again.
But it is also possible that it's an W-X-Y correction and were now in a triangle. In that case I expect one more corrective leg up to complete the E-leg and after that it can drop again.
Let's...
Technical Analysis and Outlook
The Spooz downward trend continued earlier in the week and completed our Interim Inner Index Dip 3820 - The upside rebound followed in the second part of the week by hitting the Mean Res 3927. The rebound should continue to Intermediate Outer Index Rally 3980; however, the retracement to Mean Sup 3878 is predisposed.
1- markets are dynamic
2- when a trend got broken, new one starts not necessarily a reversed of last trend.
3- for now, we can say that, the stage 4 (bearish/ decline faze) has ended.
4- we are now in the end of a stage 1 situation
but, it can go to a stage 2 or new stage 4 . I mean in this situation we cant be sure about the next main trend.
so, being cash or...
From the above 2 charts, it seems like Nasdaq and S&P500 are on different cycles. Note that the Nasdaq was a recount. I had previously counted the same way between Nasdaq and SPX but the breaching of the last wave down necessitate the re-labelling of the counts.
To trade... or to DCA (dollar cost average)... that is the question. I want to explore this using Bitcoin (BTCUSD) as an example. We will also dig into the deeper reasons that banks are under stress this week. All that and the weekly market update.
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I indicate where I think possible prices that could be reached to be comparable to previous crashes. I also show indicators on the 3 month chart that indicate same patterns as in prior crashes.
Note: I only use public available indicators in all my charts. Nothing I use is custom or private.
I notice patterns in things and as shown I show how the down leg from last year could be very similar to what is happening now. This indicates we have around another 15% to fall to complete the pattern.
If the pattern is the same we can expect prices to fall below 3500 within the next 15 days.
I used Fib levels to determine approx. levels.
Note: I only use...
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The S&P500 made the first rebound on the bottom of the Channel Up.
Breaking over the MA50 (4h) has confirmed the short term bullish sentiment.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy this pull back as close to the bottom of the Channel as possible.
Targets:
1. 4000 short term (under the MA200 (4h)).
2. 4220 long term (top of the Channel Up and +11.00% rise).
Tips:
1. The MACD...
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