Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard. S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support. Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend. The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers. Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls...
looks like we found the turn frens. lets geaux. hopefully youre an OG with fib extensions :)
Tesla weekly trend shows weakness as short-term traders hammer price down. Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com) CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor...
4.329% - 4.354% is unfinished business! A healthy retracement to 4.200% is not ruled out and would be considered as 'healthy' as price action would still be in a premium. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go. This includes; - Market Structure -...
This week was a waterfall. Next week will be the week of short seller payback! A continuation of yields trading @ CE; 4.046%, even sweeping Sellside liquidity @ 4.038% is still a possibility but for the past 4 days, the sentiment is more weighted to the downside rather than the upside, with the lowest displacement NWOG being my last line of defence @...
Going into this weeks trading, I was exuberant about the third profit @ 4.40% but the highest yields went up to was 4.321% before a shift in market structure occurred on a smaller timeframe. Currently closed @ 4.184% with a higher possibility of macro EQ @ 4.137% being the next target. My philosophy is simple... Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I...
We started with continued upside movement with Friday creating the shift in market structure. My overall bias was bullish and still is on a macro perspective up to 4.40%. Thursday and Friday were the days that we witnessed buy stop raid before a reverse which gives me the idea that we are in the cards for some form of continued retracement, at least up to the...
This week was not easy for those looking to short back down to broken resistance; 4.137%. We saw TVC:US10Y 4.196% buy stops liquidated before rejecting from a HTF 6-month bearish order block that has been respected in the past. Based on Thursday's sell stop raid, with the lows being 4.187%, we swiftly retraced before closing 50% of thew daily range @ 4.283. I am...
The US 10-year Treasury yield is currently encountering significant resistance at the levels of 4.335 and 4.36, marked by peaks observed in 2022 and August 2023. This resistance zone also aligns with the upper boundary of the Ichimoku cloud on the daily chart. There are indications that the market is exerting considerable pressure at this juncture: price action is...
testing think im having mike issues. 2.11 is the floor on 10yr. looking for 2.99 at the least.
Throughout the week, rates has been predominantly bearish until a break in market structure occurred on Wed 7th Feb 24, 9:00AM, sweeping 6th Feb 24 - 15:00PM sellside before swiftly repricing higher, targeting the prior highs @ 4.169% and rallying up to where we are today. Studying price action throughout this week, it can be observed that a liquidity void has...
Hey guys, Crude oil came down recently, which can help inflation to come down as well if energy market will continue to decline. In fact I see nice bearish pattern, so my assumption is that US yeilds and USD can be trading at resistance. In this video I will also look at the chart of the 10 year US yeilds where I see greater chance for a drop to 3% rather than...
We're examining the US Treasury Note in anticipation of the Fed meeting. The market seems to have finished a corrective pattern ('a-b-c') and is currently facing resistance from the 55-day and 200-day moving averages. This puts it in a defensive position prior to the meeting. The central bank is widely anticipated to maintain interest rates, but the spotlight will...
Unveiling the High-Stakes Dance of US Inflation and the 10-Year Yield: Critical Levels and Market Anticipation" A slew of US inflation data is scheduled for release on Friday, prompting our attention towards the US 10-year yield. Initially holding ground at 3.79, it has recently broken its short-term downtrend and is undergoing an upward correction. The market has...
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday indicated that its interest-rate hiking cycle has ended and that lower borrowing costs are coming in 2024. This was more dovish than the market anticipated and the US 10Y yield has sold off further. The short-term downtrend lies at 4.22% and while below here we will assume that the US 10Y yield remains under pressure. We would also...
We have a busy week this week as we have lots of data on big economies that should provide insights on inflation and activity – namely the US consumer confidence, PCE price index, PMIs, European CPI, German consumer confidence and Chinese PMI. The US 10Y yield has been correcting lower over the past few weeks but we suspect it has based just ahead of the key...
The US 10Y yield is approaching decent support around 4.36/35 (August high, support line and Fibo) and the daily RSI is low (it does not normally maintain a move below 30) and this suggests that the market should hold this vicinity and attempt to recover. It is helpful to use the daily RSI in conjunction with a target zone to add weight to an idea that the market...
The Fed left its policy rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.5% and the US 10Y yield sold off on the back of a less hawkish Fed. The daily chart reveals a small top completed between 4.80-5.02 and this implies a short-term target of 4.58. We are viewing this as a correction lower, rather than the end of the longer-term broader upward trend at this stage. Disclaimer: The...