Going to bring this up AGAIN. Short term #yields have been stagnant for some time now. Most are trading within a VERY TIGHT RANGE. 3Month - 1Year yield has been relatively flat. The 2Yr had nice bump but is struggling to go over 5%. HOWEVER, we pointed this out some time ago, the 10YR has BEEN PUMPING! TVC:TNX
Elliott Wave Analysis 10 Year Treasury Yield Details on the chart
Elliott Wave Analysis 10 Year Treasury Yield Details on the chart
It's very likely I'm the only guy on this planet who sees TNX at 10% in H2'23. Whether I'm right - we'll see. I don't read Prechter's analytics any more, but would be curious to know their stance. Michael Burry was right shorting the S&P via long puts on Monday. The timing is perfect. When TNX gets to 10%, there will be bloodbath everywhere. SPX will be below...
Not sure what NYSE:BRK.A NYSE:BRK.B is thinking, Warren Buffet. Is he expecting a huge demand for NEW HOMES? There was increase in demand after large drop. Maybe thinking that the Fed reduces #interestrates after things begin to crack, more? TVC:TNX has been pumping (10 Yr), no signs of weakness. They've all had huge runs NYSE:DHI NYSE:NVR NYSE:LEN.B...
Edited the graph from Apollo a bit. Red arrow is when most treasury #yields were hitting new highs. Blue arrow is current time. Chart is 2Yr #Bonds. TVC:TNX was putting in a lower low at the Red arrow BUT it is higher then before at the moment, Blue arrow. Graph shows how #bankruptcy filings began increasing late last year, slowed during #interestrates...
the chart posted is that of the 10 Yr yield I now have a good sell in place DO NOT BE SHORT TLT OR STOCKS
If we get above the threshold - real chaos could ensure. Watch this level.
We may experience a significant return to volatility in the market if we get to the bedlam zone. Inflationary pressures are back. Oil is rallying organically on no recent incremental news. Gasoline prices are making new highs for 2023. Markets are forward-looking and the disinflation narrative might have reached an apex on the most recent US CPI release. US...
$TNX is approaching historical resistance... expecting trend resumiption once local top is in...
#Bond #yield has been moving well lately, but today. SO FAR, they're rolling over, and some hurting more than others. We've mentioned that steam has been running out for some time. Look @ the RSI negative divergence on almost all of the #yields 6M weakening. 1Yr RSI CRATERING. 2YR hurting & RSI DECIMATED It is at major support. TVC:TNX is the lone wolf. Must...
Long ago we mentioned that #FederalReserve had decision to make. They either chose the Economy or the Markets. They CANNOT do both. It's obvious, plus they keep repeating, with rate hikes where their mindset is. Media states that Wall St thinks that #interestrate will be cut. BUT Looking @ short term rates, they look primed to go...
Solid close in 10 year yields last quarter. This chart is still the scariest one out there imo. As long as 10 year yields are above 2018 highs (~3.25), I don't see the Fed cutting rates. If anything, I believe they will continue to raise. Part of the narrative is that equities have increased so much this year due to the Fed slowing down rate increases. I'm just...
One of the properties of extended waves 5 is that they start really slow. The disbelief in the nascent uptrend is so strong that the counter-trend sentiment just keeps rising as the trend develops and matures. Only toward the middle of the trend the public begins to realize that something's wrong.. and then all happens.
The consensus is LOWER #interestrates (I mean, they have been around 3.2ish) Every time the 10Yr #yield was in this same situation it FOLDED. Easier to see on daily. However, something looks lil different this time around. Can't make it out on the daily. Let's see the weekly chart. Hmmm... Not yet, but gaining momentum... If the 10 Yr yield starts pumping this...
#Yield is moving well today. 1Yr is bouncing back better than 2 and 10Yr. $TNX is not bouncing as much but has not sold off as much as the others. The 10Yr is trading between 3.80 - 4.08. Did we see the top in short term #yields a few days ago? 10Yr on the other hand did not break the most recent high. Interesting to say the least. The last picture shows the...
🚨🚨🚨 Going to make a stink about #yield again. Short term #interestrates have been creeping higher. Let's👀@ #bond Yields. 6M = holding steady, trading slightly higher. BUT, 1Yr = BROKE RECENT HIGHS. It's at resistance but shows momentum. 2Yr = Closing in on TSX:SVB closure high. This is where #banks began to break down. 10Yr TVC:TNX @ current downtrend is...