U.S. Treasury yields have dominated sentiment since early 2022. Today we’ll return to the important chart of the key 10-year note.
This chart uses two-week candles to show the bigger picture. The yellow line illustrates the upward trend.
Four levels are also highlighted.
First is the October 2018 peak of 3.248. TNX held that level in April 2023 following the...
High probability entries using TNX trend, macd and BB. Broad market, cyclicals
basics.
price and macd divergence bearish.
bullish if macd is at support and BB is at support/breakout.
can combine w/ the trend lines?
tightening BB means accumulation, break outs.
just for fun and learning purposes.
//stay w/ the dominant trend.
Comments:
Doing something long-dated here in 20 year+ paper to get in at a cost basis that is coincident with a 10 year yield at 4.10%.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Cost Basis: 91.40/contract
Max Profit: 8.60 ($860)/contract
ROC at Max as a Function of Buying Power Effect: 9.41% (Excluding Dividends)
ROC at 50% Max as a Function of Buying Power Effect: 4.70%...
Investors have been optimistic about interest rates and inflation for much of the past year. However, two important charts may undermine those hopes.
Today’s weekly chart returns to the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note.
First consider the series of higher lows since July 2022 – despite improvements in headline inflation numbers. That rising trendline may...
4.33 is a key level imo. We'll see how price reacts to it this month. Momentum is up for now. Long-term chart still just now breaking out of downtrend.
Treasury yields have had a big impact on stocks since the Federal Reserve started hiking rates in 2022. Now one of the biggest charts in that market might have done something important.
Today we focus on the 10-year Treasury note’s yield, measured by the index TNX.
The first pattern is the 4.324 percent level. It was a peak in June 2008 and again last August....
Time is running out for a very specific event this year in the TNX. The charts will immediately show you what I mean and cycles are projecting something the GOLD bugs and Silver bugs have been waiting for a very long time... It seems their time is coming up and it may last for about a decade.... Time is extremely short to get into position for what the charts...
The chart is the 10 yr paper We now have 5 waves down and into .618 Look for a move BACK UP in RATES and this should also see The peak formed in Dia and Spy QQQ IWM and most of all SOX
Have you ever encountered the notion that less can be more? Well, that's precisely why it has taken me considerable time to present this update concept regarding Bond Yields. This analysis carries profound implications for every global market. What we're witnessing here holds the potential to trigger the most significant economic downturn in our lifetime—the...
As 10 year yields tend to drive many investment decisions these days ...
My current view of where we have been and with a roadmap for where we are headed.
Not investment advice. Do your own due diligence.
S.
Few charts have mattered more to investors recently than the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. After a strong move to the upside, some contrary signals may be emerging.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the potential “hanging man” candlestick on October 19. It was followed by a lower close, and then a trio of bearish outside days. Such price action may be...
Ackman Bond Short.
4% to 5%
Don't Overthink it
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Now every bear will come out and say market going to crash. In my opinion i am bullish and this is the double bottom setup. Looks at TNX it has formed a double top which means it is going to go down which inturn will push equities higher. I have loaded calls .
